UPDATED: Delaware Homestretch Over/Unders
Barack Obama (55%) (WHYY poll: 55.5%)
Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) (WHYY poll: 64.5%)
Jack Markell (57%) (WHYY Poll: 61.1%)
Karen HartleyNagle (40%) (WHYY Poll: 26.8%)
Matt Denn (53%) (WHYY Poll: 53.2%)
Karen Weldin Stewart (45%) (51%)* (WHYY Poll: 42.8%)
*KWS gains the most from an Obama/Biden race. I think this downticket sleeper will go to the Dems based on party affiliation alone. Nobody really knows the candidates and this is a Democratic year .
I added the WHYY numbers as apoint of comparison.
There’s that asterisk again. It’s like hedging a bet.
It was an explainy asterick not a hedgey asterick.
Karen HartleyNagle (40%) (WHYY Poll: 26.8%)
Ouch.
FYI:
Barack Obama (55%) OVER
Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) OVER
Jack Markell (57%) OVER
Karen HartleyNagle (40%) PUSH
Matt Denn (53%) OVER
Karen Weldin Steward (51%) OVER
Karen Weldon Stewart is on Harris McDowell’s legislative staff. Discussion over. My vote goes to Brady.
Karen Weldin Stewart claims to have run every major corporation in the world since 1879. Evidently, she also runs the shady Harris McDowell R-Way, LLC, whose motto is, “Delmarva Power is a Rich Friend!!!”
And what’s up with her website showing an outdated poll? Thanks to Jason for putting up the WHYY figures showing Brady ahead.
Brady wins with big dem support and Tom Savage taking some votes off the dem ticket. So I take the under.
Brady 52.5
Stewart 44.5
Savage 3
Barack Obama (55%) OVER (I think 60%)
Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) OVER (I think 67%)
Jack Markell (57%) OVER (I think 62%)
Karen HartleyNagle (40%) UNDER (38%)
Matt Denn (53%) PUSH (exactly right)
Karen Weldin Steward (51%) UNDER
Is there any alcohol-based prize for the closest?
Barack Obama (55%) Over
Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) Over
Jack Markell (57%) Over
Karen HartleyNagle (40%) Under
Matt Denn (53%) Over
Karen Weldin Steward (51%) Under
Here’s one to rile the blogosphere:
Gerald Brady vs. Tyler Nixon (60%) Over
Any takers?
Barack Obama (55%) Over
Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) Over
Jack Markell (57%) Over
Karen HartleyNagle (40%)Under
Matt Denn (53%) Over
Karen Weldin Steward (51%) Under
And to Disbelief — I think the prize is you buying all winners the single malts of their choice…. 😉
Cassandra, if it somes with a screw-top, as opposed to a real cork, I can afford it.
Tommy….who gets the 60 in the Brady-Nixon race?
If it is Nixon, under.
Put this back up on the weekend-prior (or the Monday) to the election. I’ll make my winning choices then.
Is there any alcohol-based prize for the closest?
Whatever it is, just don’t ask Jason to mail it to you. That’s experience talking.
I’ll put it back up – but holding off until next week makes it harder for me to set the line.
The point is to get the same number of bets on each side so the house makes money regardless of the outcome.
The point is to get the same number of bets on each side so the house makes money regardless of the outcome.
I love how you have this compulsive need of honesty when addressing me. I affect you. Awesome! 😀
So make your picks or I’ll say something bad about Dwight Eisenhower.
Then you’ll be sorry.
Disbelief @12 — somehow I’m just grateful that you aren’t talking about alcohol from boxes.
So, I get to change my picks before Election Day?
Barack Obama (55%) OVER (I think 57%)
Joe Biden (SENATE) (62%) PUSH
Jack Markell (57%) PUSH
Karen HartleyNagle (40%) UNDER (35%)
Matt Denn (53%) UNDER (I think 52%)
Karen Weldin Steward (51%) UNDER (I think 46%)
To be clear, Gerald Brady (60%) Over
she also runs the shady Harris McDowell R-Way, LLC, whose motto is, “Delmarva Power is a Rich Friend!!!”
*
WTF?? Did she say this on the DD interview or something?
This is the bull shit the GOP and DL is spreading? She has nothing to do with this company.
You really should fucking stop being total asswipes because this person has a legislative aide job and is working for someone you hate.
That is pretty sick in the first place but to put out lies that she is somehow involved in any of Harris McDowell’s businesses outside of leg hall (she is no longer working at leg hall, BTW) is just plain wrong. Shame on Jason and Geek for starting this rumor-mongering.
Bullshit Nancy. She is.
What’s the difference between a “total asswipe” and a partial asswipe?
hopefully a second partial asswipe.
No Geek, she isn’t. Put out your proof.
What a sick joke this blog is becoming.
She was a leg hall Senate aide. You are simply lying.
So you hate Harris McDowell. Fine. Don’t shit all over an employee because of it.
Karen Weldin Stewart (45%) (51%)* (WHYY Poll: 42.8%)
I have been researching this particular race a little bit more, and I find it very hard to believe that an individual with a highly dubious resume is leading a guy who has been writing Delaware Insurance Law in the legislature for over a decade. Not to mention he has already proven to be an efficient, reliable elected official as the Sussex Recorder of Deeds. There’s no way Karen should be leading Brady.
Nancy – I have proof, but I’d burn my source if I revealed it. Would an invoice with RWay and Her name suffice, do you suppose?
Nancy, will you answer yes or no? Security guard at Lowes? Yes or no? (although I do hear that part-time glorified greeters kick-ass in the insurance regulation world)