As part of the effort to keep the lights on while Jason takes a break, I will be posting here on Wednesdays. LiberalGeek suggested calling my contributions, “Wonky Wednesdays,” and I couldn’t think of anything better.
In Delaware’s unique corner of the blogosphere, liberals and conservatives read and even link to each other. For instance, motnewbie chimed in with his thoughts on Jason’s abrupt departure:
He has a respectable, high level of intelligence behind what he posts, then he just goes into a partisan rant that makes me want to scream, “You idiot,” at the monitor.
I imagine, or hope, that I don’t incite the same reaction in my readers. I don’t know that anything I write could be called ranting. I am more likely to bore you to tears than to make you scream.
However, given the unabashed partisanship of Delawareliberal, I will set aside my customary careful prose and nuanced reasoning, and offer a simple prediction:
A Democrat will be elected president in 2008.
Mind you I don’t know which Democrat, but I am confident in the outcome.
Whence my confidence? It’s the war, stupid. Two-thirds of voters don’t like the war and don’t want to escalate, while the leading Republican candidates support Bush. It’s that simple.
There’s no need for nuanced analysis on this point. 2008 will be about Iraq, just as 2006 was. Eighteen months from now, with our troops still hunkered down in Baghdad, the GOP nominee will be running on a record of supporting an unpopular war. The Democratic nominee will be running on a platform of extracting out troops from a messy, sectarian conflict that has nothing to do with our national interest. You do the math.