The numbers have been crunched.
“A regression discontinuity analysis of 41,654 voters in nine swing states demonstrates that neighbor-to-neighbor mobilization substantially increased (Democratic) turnout during the 2004 presidential election. Contact with MoveOn volunteers increased turnout by approximately seven percentage-points.“
Troll Food: True. It was not enought to overcome RNC election day crimes and dirty tricks, but I daresay it is enough for Moveon.org to make sure the volume in turned “up to 11” next time out.