I bested Celia Cohen by picking the following legislative “races to watch” back in November – a full 20 months in advance of her “races to watch” feature. (IN YOUR FACE COHEN!)
Anyway – How are my picks holding up? Lets see. (Update comments are in italics)
The 2008 General Election Results:
Senator: Joe Biden (check)
Congressman: Jack Markell (D’oh) [Looks like Castle can hold if the media and the people allow him to continue to run away from his Iraq war record.]
Governor: John Carney (Will lose to Markell in Primary. Markell to win General)
Lt. Governor: Matt Denn (check)
Insurance Commissioner: Some Democrat (check – Gene Reed Jr.. Great by all accounts)
2008 Legislative Races to Watch:
4th Senate Dist: Copeland leaves his seat open in order to have his ass handed to him by Carney. Some Republican wins the open seat. (Republican hold) (Copeland punked out – still an R hold)
17th Senate Dist: Without Vaughn to beat up on – Still’s record makes him the most hated man in Delaware. He is a slimy out of touch grandstanding douche bag and the Kent county Democrats are on a roll thanks to the leadership of Abbey Betts. (Dem Pick-up) (Check – Still is finished this time – if he even makes it to the election. Brian Bushweller to Represent Dover in Leg. Hall Dem pick-up )
14th Senate Dist: Jim Vaughn is done. But the seat is wired for Bruce Ennis. (Dems Hold) (What will happen in the open seat race in the 28th RD? Expect more old school Dem machine politics. Dems Hold)
9th State Rep Dist: If Rebecca Walker decides that she wants it – it is all hers. (Dem Pick-up) Walker is in but needs to step it up. Meanwhile Cathcart has raised hi sgame. (Republican hold)
18th State Rep Dist: Someone is going to announce a surprise retirement a la Roger Roy- it might as well be Spence. (dems pick-up) (check)
19th State Rep Dist: Someone is going to announce a surprise retirement a la Joe DiPinto- it might as well be Gilligan. (dems hold) (check)
20th State Rep Dist: Manolakos is the “Chauncey Gardener” of Legislative hall. He is surprised to even be there. (dem pick-up) (check)
25th State Rep: The R’s will run hard at freshman Kowalko, but to no avail. (dems hold) (Check)
27th State Rep Dist: Jaques strong showing proves that this district is ripe for the Democrats. Lofink retires or is beaten in the general. (dems pick-up) (Check)
31st State Rep Dist: Prameela Kaza decides to go again and makes Nancy Wagner the next Stephanie Ulbrich. (dems Pick-up) (check)
33rd State Rp Dist: The R’s think they should have this one – but Walls is no dummy. He’ll cruise to re-election. (dems hold) (check)
34th State Rep Dist: In a kind of mirror image of the 33rd, the Dems think this is winnable. It is not. (Republicans hold) (check)
Pretty good predictions if I do say so myself.