On the Al Mascitti Show this morning, Vince D’Anna clarifies the results of his poll:
Carney 30.5
Markell 14.6
Undecided 55%
That is the real story behind this poll. After eight years of service as Lt. Governor, as the heir apparent of the Democratic Party, John Carney only garners 30.5% of Democrats, with over two thirds of Democrats either supporting Markell or undecided. If Carney is such a shoo-in, if it is really his turn, if he is such the golden boy, then why is he stick in the low 30s?
Carney is basically an incumbent, as part of the Minner-Carney Administration. He has the establishment backing. A basic rule of thumb in polling is if an incumbent is below 50%, he or she is in serious trouble. Carney is at 30.5%! That tells me that two thirds of Democrats are not happy with the choice of Carney, and are either supporting Markell or unsure of or without enough knowledge about Markell to say that they are supporting him.
Ron Williams is lauding this poll as good news for Carney. It is not. It is horrible terrible devastating news for Carney.