Alright, now we are getting spoiled. First, SurveyUSA. Now Fairleigh Dickinson/Public Mind. As you see below, Survey USA has Markell destroying Lee 64% to 29%. And now FDU/PM confirms the landslide blowout and offers, for the first time ever, results on the other down ballot races.
Markell 61%, Lee 27%
Biden 69%, O’Donnell 26%.
Castle 62%, Hartley-Nagle 28%
Weldin-Stewart 41%, Brady 33% (24% are undecided)
The problem Karen Hartley Nagle encounters is that she is not winning Democrats or women. And that is pretty much the ballgame, for she is not going to win men and Republicans. Shockingly, Democrats favor Castle 47% to 44% over Karen. 59% of women support Castle as well. That is because Karen is unknown to the at-large population Democratic population. Yeah, we political junkies may know her, but your rank and file Democrat really does not, even if they voted for her in the primary. Indeed, I speculate now that Karen won the primary because she had nominal name recognition from 2006. And among the three unknowns, she was the most known.
As I have argued before, the only way to get known, and the only way to disabuse Democrats of the notion that Castle is a moderate who agrees with them on some or most issues, you have to have a lot of money for a sustained media campaign. Karen doesn’t have that, and it is getting to be too late to get it.
Finally, why did they not poll the Denn-Copeland race??!!?? I have a feeling that race will be a mystery up until the election.