Here is the name of the new contract:
Barack Obama’s Intrade value will increase more than John McCain’s following the VP debate
It is trading at 70.0 as I write this, which means traders are willing to take $0.30 on every dollar bet (total payout $1.30) that the outcome will happen.
As a point of comparison, “McCain to Win” contracts are trading at 34.0 so traders need to see total of $1.66 payout for every dollar bet to bit on that contract.