Pickups
Senate Democratic Pickups
Michael Katz (D)
Bethany Hall-Long (D)
Brian Bushweller (D)*
Senate Republican Pickups
{crickets chirping}
House Democrats
Rebecca Walker (D)*
Mike Barbieri (D)*
Pat Creedon (D)
Earl Jaques (D)*
Darryl Scott (D)
Brad Bennett (D)
John Atkins (Drunk)
House Republican Pickups
{crickets chirping}
The (*) indicates pickups given a larger than expected Democratic wave. So we are looking at plus 2 to 3 in the Senate and plus 4 to 7 in the house.
You missed me or what? Trying to force me to comment?
Who does your polling? Magic 8-ball? I’ll be glad to tell you what I’ve heard, going door-to-door, but after Nov 4 (I ain’t showin’ no hand to you, other than the back side)! 😀
Didn’t you see the asterick?
What’s the line on the Paradee/Thornburg race?
That’s why I asked about the Magic 8-ball. It’s cool, I have one, too. Don’t we all? 🙂
Hey, I will be glad to share my info with you after Nov 4, too. Plus, I am giving serious weight to my Prog Repub idea, too, so I may draft you, you closet ‘pub.
Unfortunatley, the DEM party rules the state house much like Bushie runs DC. We know that. Let’s relish the new blood and stay wary of the incumbents.
Thank the gods that Markell is here for us as the true face of change. I am sure that his leadership will make all the difference in the behavior of a DEM controlled Assembly.
I want to see Young’s name on that list. The same wave that can carry Katz can carry Young and it doesn’t even have to be as bif a wave!
I love me some Rebecca, but Katz is an open seat (Copeland having quit for reasons only known to himself.)
As much as I like her, to add Rebecca could impare the journalistic integrity of the list.
It is an open seat so I guess it is possible Katz can win in the 4th Senate race, but he will need a heck of a turnout of Democrats and a fair amount of crossover votes since he has a significant registration disadvantage.
_________________________________
STATE SENATE DISTRICT # 04
DEM—– REP—– — —-OTHERS—— TOTAL
10,778—13,292 ——–7,461 ———–31,531
10/01/08 STATE OF DELAWARE ELECTIONS SYSTEM
http://electionsncc.delaware.gov/vr/regtotals/2008/10_08_sen.pdf
John Tobin, you mean like the Primary turnout?
3,854 Democratic to 3,814 Republican
RSmitty, aren’t Progressive Republicans called moderate Democrats? 😉
Got another weird push poll from Earl Jaques last night – I think he outsources them to Bangalore or something. There was a bunch of hypothetical news headlines and would they affect my opinion of Earl Jaques; there was one about family friendly gambling or something (Sorry, I was watching the Flyers at the time) and another one about Jaques’ responsibility for defending subprime lending. He seems like a nice guy in person, but there’s something wrong with his campaign. And then there’s his weird signs: Time for a Donkey! I put pictures on them so stupid people can understand them too!
That should read: I was watching the Flyers game at the time, so my wife took the phone poll.
Last night at the JJ dinner, Dave Sokola was predicting a change of 10 (I assume he meant 5 seats changing).
I’m sure there was a lot of talk about seat-changes there. It was a partisan function! You should see the pie-in-the-sky that happens at our circle jerks. Oy! It’s akin to the Oscar Awards, if you catch my drift.
“It is an open seat so I guess it is possible Katz can win in the 4th Senate race, but he will need a heck of a turnout of Democrats and a fair amount of crossover votes since he has a significant registration disadvantage.”
He has a chance because Clatworthy is a wet-behind-the-ears GOP stooge.
I’m sad that Smitty did not bite on the could impare the journalistic integrity of the list line.
I started to, but I think the response required is so obvious that I didn’t want to appear to be redundant.
That’s what I don’t like about you. Self-control.
Oh…I don’t know about that.
any word on Mackenzie’s race? How tough will that be? Will hometown support for Markell help him at all or is it hopeless?
Hmmm…
Mackenzie’s district is as affulent but less Republican that nearby Senate districts. (D:8,353 – R:7,566 – I:5,806 – total 21,725
Sorenson is an incumbent Senator though and that is a steep hill to climb.
I haven’t heard much about this race so if someone wants to educate me – I’m all ears.