BREAKING: BIDEN / CASTLE TIED (Updated with more numbers)

A new Research 2000 poll is out concerning both the Senate and House races, and other elected officials in Delaware:

Research 2000. 10/12-14. Likely voters. MoE 4% (no trend lines)
Link: http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/14/DE/395

Beau Biden (D) 45
Mike Castle (R) 46

From Daily Kos:

It couldn’t be any tighter in this marquee matchup. Castle leads other potential match ups (Castle 51 Kaufman 37, Castle 49, Carney 41, Castle 51 Coons 39), but the Biden-Castle one is most likely because the political establishment loves its monarchies, and so do the voters. Interestingly, while Castle has solid Republican support (82-9), Biden gets less than three-quarters of Democrats (72-21). Independents lean toward Castle (48-40). If Biden brings Democrats home, it gets much harder for Castle to win.

Both Castle and Biden have nearly identical approval ratings as well, providing perhaps the most even matchup of the cycle. While some prognosticators are already slotting this race as a “lean Republican”, the data suggests this is about as pure a “toss-up” as you can have in politics.

We also polled Democrat John Carney in two potential House matchups, and the Democrat has a huge early lead. That race isn’t expected to be competitive giving Democrats an easy pickup of Castle’s vacated seat.

Make sure you see the complete results at the link. I’ll try to post them up shortly, but there is a lot of data on Fav/Unfav on alot of our favorite targets.

FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE

 

Beau Biden

Ted Kaufman

John Carney

Chris Coons

Mike Castle

Charlie Copeland

Greg Lavelle

Jack Markell

Tom Carper

Barack Obama

QUESTION: Beau Biden v. Mike Castle?

QUESTION: Castle v. Kaufman?

Castle v. Carney?

Castle v. Coons?

John Carney v. Copeland?

Carney v. Greg Lavelle?

Demographics