It’s Monday. *sigh* Here is your open thread.
What shall we discuss today? I have an idea: Mike Protack is running for County Council, 3rd district (seat currently held by Tansey). Discuss.
The AP, about as mainstream as you can get, did an article on the GOP moderate purge. They had an interesting quote by former Rep. Tom Davis saying that the GOP needs “adult supervision.”
The numbers: Hoffman 51%, Owens 34%, and Scozzafava (whose name remains on the ballot) 13%, with a ±2.3% margin of error. In a strict two-way matchup, Hoffman leads Owens by 54%-38%.
One caveat: Special elections are notoriously hard to poll — especially a race as crazy as this one — and this survey does have some inconsistencies from others. For example, only 39% of its likely voter pool approves of President Obama, with 52% disapproving. By contrast, the Siena poll gave Obama a favorable rating of 59%-37%. (True, “approval” and “favorable” are two different questions, but even then they shouldn’t have answers that are this different.)
Two polls show swings towards Christie in the NJ-Gov race. Quinnipiac shows a 7% swing to 42% Christie, 40% Corzine and PPP (again with a highly Republican sample) shows Christie 47%, Corzine 41%.