Armey Is Building An Army

Filed in National by on November 4, 2009

Let’s face it, NY-23 was the tea partier’s battle field.  It was where they drew the line in the sand.  And… there were lessons to be learned.   Mainly that a 100 year old Republican seat switched to a Democrat seat.  To me this says that people comfortable with always pulling the R lever suddenly changed their ways.  It also had practically nothing to do with Owens.  Oh yeah, this was definately R on R crime.

Not that I expect the real Republicans to take a moment and ponder this outcome.  Actually, I expect them to declare victory.  From here on out Republican primaries will be the ones to watch.  Pass the popcorn, because Dick Armey is ramping up the purging.

An announcement sent out by MacGuffie proclaimed that he, like Armey, has actively supported Doug Hoffman’s bid to rid the NY-23 special election of moderate Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava (R-NY). Now, both Armey and MacGuffie are planning to purge the Republican Party of more moderate politicians.

MacGuffie has declared that Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) are RINOs (Republicans in name only) who “have routinely abandoned or betrayed us.” Similarly, the next step of Armey’s agenda appears to be an intensified crusade to challenge moderate Republicans in primaries. The Politico reports that Rep. Bob Inglis (R-SC), Gov. Charlie Crist (R-FL), former Rep. Rob Simmons (R-CT) and other Republicans who have strayed from rigid party-line positions face primaries from candidates inspired by the tea parties and town hall disruption type tactics.

That’s quite a prominent list of “purge” targets.  And I have to wonder why Armey and army would take safe Republican seats and make them, well, unsafe.  Like I said, there are lessons to be learned in NY-23 – a seat that would have stayed Republican had Republicans not interfered.

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Comments (33)

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  1. Dan Maloney says:

    Your analysis is faulty.
    When you look at the number of voters who voted for Scozzafava you need to remember that many of them were absentee voters whose ballots were submitted before she quit the race and endorsed Owens.

    I suspect that if Scozzafava had quit the race earlier the outcome would have been different regardless of whether she endorsed the Democrat or not.

    2010 will tell the story.
    We have not yet begun to fight.

  2. Geezer says:

    Maloney: Your analysis is faulty, too. The seat was held by the GOP for 100 years. Your type made it winnable for the Democrats.

    You have begun to fight, and you lost the first battle.

  3. pandora says:

    My point exactly, Geezer! The seat was the Rs to lose, and lost it they did.

  4. I don’t think there were enough absentees to flip the results. Hoffman is behind by 4000 votes and I think there are only 6000 absentees to be counted (I’m going from memory here my numbers could be wrong).

    Exactly Geezer. Teabaggers turned a sure R win into a D win, but they I guess their feeling is that someone like Scozzafava has no place in their GOP so a D win was better than a Scozzafava win.

    Hey teabaggers, there’s a “moderate” right here in Delaware – Mike Castle. Purge him!

  5. MJ says:

    Heh, heh, heh. Pandora said Dick Armey. 🙂

  6. pandora says:

    Well, MJ… perhaps I should have said an army of d*cks. 😉

    UI, they’re already working on purging Castle. Frank “I don’t believe in global warming because I had to wear a sweater today” Knotts over at DP has launched RACE (Republicans Against Castle’s Election).

    Pass the popcorn!

  7. Geezer says:

    Pandora beat me to it. Unfortunately for Democrats, the person leading the anti-Castle charge is Frank Knotts, who doesn’t have the sense God promised a billy goat.

  8. B. Goat says:

    Excuse me? We have always been a Democrat-leaning species. Your comparison of us to Mr. Knotts is re-but-able (get it? ‘but’? as in goat butting?)

  9. Dave M. says:

    Nobody ever accused goats of having a keen sense of humor. Although they do taste good with garlic and rosemary.

  10. Steve Benen on the NY-23 results:

    I found the RedState post on the results especially interesting. Erick Erickson called Hoffman’s defeat “a huge win for conservatives.”

    First, the GOP now must recognize it will either lose without conservatives or will win with conservatives…. [W]e have demonstrated to the GOP that it must not take conservatives for granted. The GOP spent $900,000.00 on a Republican who dropped out and endorsed the Democrat. Were we to combine Scozzafava and Hoffman’s votes, Hoffman would have won. […]

    The GOP had better pay attention. For all intents and purposes, NY-23 is a trial run for Florida. And in Florida, the conservative candidate is operating inside the GOP. If John Cornyn and the NRSC do not want to see Florida go the way of NY-23, they better stand down.

    So, they can lose if Republicans nominate a moderate (and the base revolts), or they can lose if Republicans nominate a hard-line conservative (and the mainstream revolts).

    Yep, moderate Republicans are pretty much screwed. They’re damned if they do, damned if they don’t.

  11. nemski says:

    Dan Maloney is one of the reasons why I wish the US gov’t did not invent the internet.

  12. PBaumbach says:

    JeffreyFeldman on Twitter notes “Despite the result in NY-23, I see this lesson: the Beck and Palin forces have merged and will get stronger.”

  13. Geezer says:

    Apologies to all the goats; it’s just a country expression my father-in-law uses.

    Nemski: Who is Dan Maloney? I didn’t recognize the name.

  14. Geezer says:

    “Despite the result in NY-23, I see this lesson: the Beck and Palin forces have merged and will get stronger.”

    When were they separate? And strength through defeat is a new concept to me. Other than that, excellent analysis (I don’t know how to produce the eye-roll emoticon).

  15. Dan Maloney says:

    Geezer and Pandora
    You continue to make the mistake in thinking that we are all Rs or that we particularly care about the Republican Party.
    I think the insurgent battle against the ‘chosen’ R candidate Scozzafava pretty much debunks that theory.

    As Geezer said we lost the first battle.
    But we have not lost the war.

    I think the showing in the other battlefields around the nation show that we are still in the fight and will continue to be engaged.

  16. nemski says:

    Geezer, look above. That’s who. Go to his site and see the horror. 😉

  17. Geezer says:

    I like the flag.

    Dan: I’ve said this elsewhere, but I’ll repeat it since you’re a newcomer: In parliamentary politics, coalition-building occurs after the election. In American politics, coalition-building occurs at the party level, before the election. Whatever you may think, you and your allies are only about half of the Republican Party. If you reject the moderate Republicans, whom will you ally with to reach 50%? Granted, the fight is easier in safe Republican districts, but how can you win elsewhere with less than 50% of the voters?

  18. PBaumbach says:

    Please don’t read Feldman’s comments as spin, but as forecasting. I didn’t interpret Feldman as suggesting strength through defeat, but rather monday morning quarterbacking revealing an adjustment to future strategies.

    When is the last time that Palin followed anyone’s playbook? She’s more of a loose cannon than McCain! Feldman seems to suggest that national supporters of Hoffman, such as Beck and Palin, may conclude that they could have been more effective if they did some coordination.

  19. I definitely agree with Feldman – Beck is now the intellectual leader of the Republican party and Palin is the chosen one. Pawlenty wants to be but isn’t there yet.

    Geezer,

    Perhaps the teabaggers want to go to a more parliamentary system. I think they do. I’m not sure how they’re going to convince moderate Republicans to be in a coalition with them if they keep insulting them, though.

  20. pandora says:

    Beck/Palin?

    Palin/Beck?

    I’m seeing a problem already. 🙂

  21. Geezer says:

    PB: That’s problem with Twitter, isn’t it? It’s hard to read between the lines when there’s only one of them.

  22. cassandra_m says:

    The Beck and Palin forces together still don’t get to more than 20% or so of the electorate but I think that as a forecast Feldman is probably right. But I think that what gets coordinated and shared are their delusions of righteousness. And this will be fodder for the media and the punditocracy who work pretty hard to spin all of this as Good For Republicans.

  23. Dan Maloney says:

    Geezer,
    I’m fully aware of the differences between parliamentary and American politics. Perhaps in the cirrent context it should be considered whether the Republican Party did ANY coalition building before it chose Scozzafava. All available evidence points to a negative conclusion.

    So you’re right and I’m right. As to safe Republican districts, perhaps. We definitely have to better penetrate what are viewed as ‘hostile to conservative’ areas, but even there we are having some success.

    Not everyone has drunk the Obama Koolaid:
    http://nygoe.wordpress.com/2009/11/01/obama-zombies-at-halloween-parade-103109/

  24. Geezer says:

    Agreed. I haven’t drunk the Obama Kool-Aid, either — but I’m far from a conservative. Some of the dissatisfaction with the status quo comes from those of us on the left who — like many of you on the right felt about Bush by the end — feel we have been betrayed.

  25. liberalgeek says:

    I love this. Dan asserts that the process for selecting Scozzafava was flawed.

    Nevermind that she was actually chosen by the method that the Republicans came up with.
    Nevermind that the teabaggers lost that round.
    Nevermind that this was a special election which is different than a usual election.
    Nevermind that the tebagging candidate didn’t actually LIVE in the district.
    Nevermind that he had no understanding of the issues of the district.

    I wonder if the Republicans are getting the message that their own attitude of “democracy is flawed if my guy doesn’t win” is coming back to bite them in their ass. I am stocking up on popcorn.

  26. D.C. says:

    “My point exactly, Geezer! The seat was the Rs to lose, and lost it they did.”

    So what do you say about NJ? That probably doesn’t matter, right?

    You had an incumbent, Democrat governor in a state that strongly supported the Democrat in the last election…who spent $23 million to his opponents $8 million…who had the messiah and his VP (among others) stumping for him…and he still lost the election.

    This seems like a much bigger story than a THIRD PARTY candidate losing an election up in NY.

  27. D.C. says:

    “I wonder if the Republicans are getting the message that their own attitude of “democracy is flawed..”

    I wonder if the socialists in the White House are getting the same message?

    Spin it however you’d like to but losing VA and NJ (especially NJ) is making a lot of Ds very nervous.

  28. pandora says:

    Corzine was in trouble – check out his approval rate. And while I preferred him over Christie I wasn’t surprised that he lost. Actually, Corzine made up a lot of ground in the polls over the last few weeks, but the idea that he was going to win is just silly.

    And talking of BIGGER stories… remind me again why NY-23 was even on the radar. Oh yeah, you guys put it there. And lost.

  29. xstryker says:

    We lost NJ, but we didn’t lose it to a conservative. If Christie was running for Senate instead of Governor, you guys would have torpedoed him already.

  30. Scott P says:

    This seems like a much bigger story than a THIRD PARTY candidate losing an election up in NY.

    Not surprisingly, D.C. either willfully or ignorantly entirely misses the point. The story wasn’t that Hoffman lost, the story was that Scozzafava (and the Republican Party) lost. She almost certainly would have won, if it weren’t for those meddling kids Hoffman and the teabag brigade. Through pretty vicious infighting, they gave away a comfortable seat.

  31. Scott P says:

    You continue to make the mistake in thinking that we are all Rs or that we particularly care about the Republican Party.

    Just more evidence that some sort of a split is inevitable. The only question is how much of the GOP does the Conservanut Party peel off. Only a small bit, so that they remain a small fringe and just a pain in the elephant’s arse, or enough to make both of them into small, minor, irrelevant parties. When you’re done with that popcorn, Pandora, send it over this way.

  32. Geezer says:

    Rick Jensen drank more Kool-Aid than you, DC — he called it an “obscure third party,” which the Conservative Party in New York certainly is not.

    Unlike the governor of New Jersey, the Congresscritter from NY23 will actually get a vote on health care, etc. (though he will almost certainly be a Blue Dog, and therefore is no sure vote).

    Jon Corzine never topped 45% in any poll during the campaign. Anyone who knows politics — which rules out most of the conservative commenters here — will tell you that an incumbent with less than 50% is vulnerable. Heck, most of the folks here are crowing because Mike Castle stands at 49%. Corzine started the race at, I believe, 37%. There was never a reason to believe he would win.

  33. Geezer says:

    Another point conservatives whistle past — the two governors avoided talking about Obama, and indeed ran like moderates (McConnell reacted like he took an acid bath when his thesis for Slackjaw University was made public). The guy who talked the conservative game got 46% of the vote. John McHugh got 63.5% in a blue wave election exactly one year ago.