The Calendar tells me that it is 2010. But the real important date is July 30, 2010. That is the filing deadline. And until then we really will not know officially who is running for what when. But let’s play our game anyway. The game is rampant and unsourced speculation.
US SENATE
RATING: TOSSUP
BEAU BIDEN 
MIKE CASTLE
CHRISTINE O’DONNELL 
With Beau Biden, this race is competitive. Without Beau Biden, we are looking at Senator Castle. Let’s look the recent polls, with recent being a relative term.
PPP……….11/30-12/2/09……571 LV…..Castle 45…….Biden 39……….Undecided 16
Susquehanna…..11/10-15/09……..500 LV………Biden 45………Castle 40…….Undecided 14
Research 2000…….10/12-14/09…….600 LV…….Castle 46……..Biden……..45……….Undecided 9
Rasmussen……..9/30/09……….500 LV……….Castle 47………Biden 42……….Undecided 11
More polling on this race is no doubt underway, definitely internally, but also by Research 2000. To prod Biden into this race or to discourage him, that will depend on the results. Biden is waiting to announce probably by Spring, to allow the investigation into and prosecution of that Bradley monster to be unaffected by political announcements.
With all that said, this race is in a holding pattern until then. We won’t know if the Teabaggers will accept Castle. We know religious nutjobs like David Anderson are supporting O’Donnell, but how widespread is that support? It will be a fun summer. In the meantime, Castle raised $1.1 million last quarter, and is sitting on $1.7 million cash on hand. That is a good start. But he better keep raising money. Biden can raise that in one moneybomb in one day.
CONGRESS
RATING: SOLID DEMOCRATIC
JOHN CARNEY
SCOTT SPENCER
FRED CULLIS
CHARLIE COPELAND
TOM KOVACH
ANTHONY WEDO
Speaking of Beau Biden waiting…..where are the supposed strong Republicans Burris says he knows are gearing up for this race? Copeland? Kovach? We know Lavelle has decided against the race, for now anyway. So we are left with a Pennsylvanian millionaire (Anthony Wedo) and Fred Cullis. Wedo would make the race more interesting, since he could self fund, but he and Cullis are just sacrificial lambs to Carney. Copeland has made no recent moves to indicate he is running, and indeed his assine comments on his own blog Resolute Determination makes it an opposition research goldmine. But he may be arrogant enough to think that is not a problem.
So John Carney is strongly favored to pick up this seat for the Democrats.
TREASURER
RATING: LEAN DEMOCRATIC
VELDA JONES POTTER
CHIP FLOWERS
COLIN BONINI
I almost rated this a tossup, because we just do not know how this race is going to play out. The attention in the state is on the AG office at the moment. Now, if the voters seek to voice their displeasure at Markell over the upcoming budget battle, this would be the race to do it. And if that happens, this race could be turned on its ear. But if things stay quiet, the budget battle not acrimonious, well, I think it stays in the Democratic column.
AUDITOR
RATING: SOLID REPUBLICAN
TOM WAGNER
RICHARD KORN
KEN MATLUSKY
A Republican incumbent in a Republican year? Yeah.
ATTORNEY GENERAL
RATING: LEAN REPUBLICAN
CARL DANBURG
CHRIS COONS
FERRIS WHARTON
Chris Coons has recently informed friends and contributors that he is not going to run for AG. The fix is in for Danberg? Ferris Wharton is running, and has to be the favorite.