Delaware Liberal

Tobin Looks at (Possibly) Low Wilmington Democratic Primary Turn Out & The (Possible) Impact

John Tobin, Delaware’s best political number cruncher, observes…

(T)he City of Wilmington, where the Democratic primary is often the deciding election, has enough registered Democrats and higher percentage points in turnout than suburban and rural areas to be a major deciding factor in statewide Delaware Democratic primaries and countywide primaries in New Castle County.

However, the fact that the City is not hosting a bunch of Senate and House primaries means that “sitting elected officials, with name recognition,organizations and experience running campaigns” will be on the sidelines this time. That means, with turnout for the state and county wide primaries lower than normal, Wilmington’s king making powers may shift to the NCC suburbs.

John is less likely than most bloggers and commenters to turn his observations into grand pronouncements, so read the whole thing. Then make whatever grand pronouncements the data influences you to make.

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