Tornoe’s Toon: Chris Who?
According to a recent Rasmussen poll, Chris Coons is narrowing the gap with Mike Castle, whose support has fallen below 50% for the first time in this race.
Castle, who had previously led Coons by more than 20 points, now leads the general election match-up 47-36, which is only marginally better than Christine O’Donnell’s 41-39 match-up with Coons.
However, Coons suffers from a lack of familiarity with likely voters. Only 13% have a favorable opinion of the NCCo Executive, while 9% view him unfavorably. However, a whopping 23% don’t know enough about him to venture any kind of opinion.
Even worse, Coons picks up just 57% of the vote from his own party. Yikes!
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Tags: Chris Coons, Coons Rasmussen, Mike Castle, Rasmussen Poll
man oh man. Does Tornoe slap you in the face with the cold herring of truth, or what?
I don’t think Coons has done much to move the trendlines. However, I do believe the results are real. 47% is consistent with what Castle was polling against Beau Biden. I think that shows some of Castle’s support is soft. I can’t help but see this as very bad news for Castle and good news for Coons. He still has a lot of room to move up, and really he only needs to convince Democrats to vote for him.
This race reminds me of one of those bicycle events in the Olympics where the riders go very slowly around the track four or five times, them bust out into a last second sprint.
This is not unlike Obama/Clinton in the primaries. Hillary was as known as humanly possible before the race began. It would have been very difficult for her to boost her positives. Obama was largely unknown, and when he made his first impression, it often was positive, and his positives kept rising, until during the actual primaries he was able to win.
As a universal, Castle can’t boost his numbers. He can merely hold on for dear life and hope that Coons can’t get in front of enough folks.
However, Coons suffers from a lack of familiarity with likely voters.
So much for the theory that voters are up in arms about NCC tax increases.