Monthly Archives: August 2010

Ugh, Brett Favre

I think I probably wrote a story with the exact same title about a year ago. Brett Favre is un-un-retiring now but denies he said he was going to retire. But he still may retire. It depends.

A day after reports surfaced that Brett Favre had begun telling the Minnesota Vikings he was planning to retire, Favre now says he will play this season if he thinks his surgically repaired ankle can handle it, and he denies that he told the Vikings he was retiring.

Ed Werder of ESPN caught up with Favre in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, and reported on SportsCenter that Favre said he hasn’t made up his mind about playing.

Can someone please get this man some attention? He’s in desperate need for it.

Wednesday Open Thread

Welcome to your Wednesday open thread. I’ve had a lot of trouble getting on today so this might be short.

Apparently Ann Coulter wannabe Laura Ingraham wrote an imaginary diary of Barack Obama and it contained a lot of offensive racial stereotypes. Stephen Colbert tore her apart.

The Colbert Report Mon – Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
Laura Ingraham
www.colbertnation.com
Colbert Report Full Episodes 2010 Election Fox News

Calling Ingraham a “banshee” is racism now. Yeah, I don’t get it either.

OK, I’ll admit that Sharron Angle so far wins the most crazy Republican candidate contest so far (the competition is fierce):

Nevada journalist Jon Ralston unearths an interview that Sharron Angle did with Christian radio that is perhaps her most eyebrow-raising contribution to the conversation yet. In it, she says that government expansion under Obama and Dems is an effort to make government into our “God.”

In case you’re tempted to dismiss this as a figure of speech, Angle makes it clear that she’s being literal, adding that our dependence on government is “idolatry” and that this is a “violation of the First Commandment.” Here’s the key bit:

“And these programs that you mentioned — that Obama has going with Reid and Pelosi pushing them forward — are all entitlement programs built to make government our God. And that’s really what’s happening in this country is a violation of the First Commandment. We have become a country entrenched in idolatry, and that idolatry is the dependency upon our government. We’re supposed to depend upon God for our protection and our provision and for our daily bread, not for our government.”

Cue the Blues Brothers, she’s on a mission from God.

Primary Results – Michigan, Missouri, Kansas

Yesterday primaries occurred in several states.

In Michigan, moderate Republican Rick Snyder beat 4 other candidates (including crazy conservative Rep. Pete Hoekstra) to win the Republican nomination. The Democratic nomination was won by Lansing mayor Virg Bernero. Does his name sound familiar? It could be because last year he ripped apart Neil Cavuto on Fox.

I like this guy!

Other interesting news in Michigan, longtime Rep. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (mother of jailed former Detroit mayor Kwame Kilpatrick) lost her Democratic primary to state senator Hansen Clarke.

In Kansas DeMint-backed crazy conservative Rep. Jerry Moran beat Palin-backed crazy conservative Rep. Todd Tiahrt to get the GOP nomination for Senate. Moran will face Lisa Johnston in November. Crazy conservative Sen. Sam Brownback became the GOP nominee for governor.

In Missouri, the Senate race will be between Roy Blunt, who defeated a Tea Party conservative Chuck Purgason, and Robin Carnahan.

Disparity Between Drug Sentences Reduced

For decades, it was a sign of unfairness at best, or racism at worst. Under a 1986 law, a person convicted of possessing five grams of crack cocaine got the same mandatory prison sentence as someone with 500 grams of powder cocaine, 100 times more. And of course, those using powder cocaine in the mid to late 1980’s were often rich and/or white, and those using crack cocaine in the mid to late 1980’s were often poor and/or black.

Yesterday, President Obama signed legislation that reduces that ratio to about 18-1 from 100 to 1. So the law is a little more fair.

In some areas of criminal justice system, Obama disappoints, having what appears to be the same position as President Bush when it comes to warrantless searches and seizures being used in the conduct of fighting terrorism. But in the mandatory minimums and sentence disparity, Obama meets my expectations, and even surprises. This is one of those times.

Republicans Should Read Mayor Bloomberg’s Speech.

And supposed liberals or Hillary Clinton Democrats like Dominique should read it too, if of course it is not too long for them, but it is, so Dominique, feel free to wallow in your own crapulence while the rest of us learn something. Here is an important, but long, excerpt:

“In the mid-1650s, the small Jewish community living in lower Manhattan petitioned Dutch governor Peter Stuyvesant for the right to build a synagogue, and they were turned down. In 1657, when Stuyvesant also prohibited Quakers from holding meetings, a group of non-Quakers in Queens signed the Flushing Remonstrance, a petition in defense of the right of Quakers and others to freely practice their religion. It was perhaps the first formal political petition for religious freedom in the American colonies, and the organizer was thrown in jail and then banished from New Amsterdam.

“In the 1700s, even as religious freedom took hold in America, Catholics in New York were effectively prohibited from practicing their religion, and priests could be arrested. Largely as a result, the first Catholic parish in New York City was not established until the 1780s, St. Peter’s on Barclay Street, which still stands just one block north of the World Trade Center site, and one block south of the proposed mosque and community center.

“This morning, the city’s Landmark Preservation Commission unanimously voted to extend—not to extend—landmark status to the building on Park Place where the mosque and community center are planned. The decision was based solely on the fact that there was little architectural significance to the building. But with or without landmark designation, there is nothing in the law that would prevent the owners from opening a mosque within the existing building.

“The simple fact is, this building is private property, and the owners have a right to use the building as a house of worship, and the government has no right whatsoever to deny that right. And if it were tried, the courts would almost certainly strike it down as a violation of the U.S. Constitution.

“Whatever you may think of the proposed mosque and community center, lost in the heat of the debate has been a basic question: Should government attempt to deny private citizens the right to build a house of worship on private property based on their particular religion? That may happen in other countries, but we should never allow it to happen here.

“This nation was founded on the principle that the government must never choose between religions or favor one over another. The World Trade Center site will forever hold a special place in our city, in our hearts. But we would be untrue to the best part of ourselves and who we are as New Yorkers and Americans if we said no to a mosque in lower Manhattan.

And more:

“The attack was an act of war, and our first responders defended not only our city, but our country and our constitution. We do not honor their lives by denying the very constitutional rights they died protecting. We honor their lives by defending those rights and the freedoms that the terrorists attacked.

“Of course, it is fair to ask the organizers of the mosque to show some special sensitivity to the situation, and in fact their plan envisions reaching beyond their walls and building an interfaith community. But doing so, it is my hope that the mosque will help to bring our city even closer together, and help repudiate the false and repugnant idea that the attacks of 9/11 were in any ways consistent with Islam.

“Muslims are as much a part of our city and our country as the people of any faith. And they are as welcome to worship in lower Manhattan as any other group. In fact, they have been worshipping at the site for better, the better part of a year, as is their right. The local community board in lower Manhattan voted overwhelmingly to support the proposal. And if it moves forward, I expect the community center and mosque will add to the life and vitality of the neighborhood and the entire city.

“Political controversies come and go, but our values and our traditions endure, and there is no neighborhood in this city that is off-limits to God’s love and mercy, as the religious leaders here with us can attest.”

Constitutional Conservatives

The Republican Party now wants to officially investigate repealing the 14th Amendment through Congressional Hearing. Before we actually get to what is in the 14th Amendment, it is important to realize what this means. Sarah Palin and every other Republican candidate seeking the Teabagger (i.e. the Republican base) vote have declared themselves to be “constitutional conservatives.” Indeed, the opposition to health care reform was based, disingeniously but all the same, on it being unconstitutional. Therefore, I am to assume that conservatives across the land in opposition to Obama want to protect and enforce the prohibitions and protections embodied in the Constitution.

But that that shtick cannot overpower their bigotry. And when the Constitution gets in the way of their bigotry, the Constitution gets thrown overboard, as it has been many times before whenever it got in the way of “conservative” ideology. So we can now stop pretending that conservatives care about the Constitution. To them, it is nothing more than a campaign prop to be put in the closet when it becomes inconvenient.

Back to the text of the 14th Amendment. Pay attention Tea Baggers, because I know for a fact that this will be the first time in life that you have ever read the 14th Amendment.

Section 1. All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside. No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.

The first section is the most important to the current debate. The remaining sections had to do with cleaning up the old traitorous bastard Confederacy, such as forbidding former Confederates from serving in any level of government, reducing the representation of a State in Congress should it deny the right to vote to any man 21 years or older (this was to punish the denial of the vote to black men (don’t worry women, your rights come later in the 19th Amendment, but I am sure the GOP will want to repeal that too)), and to disclaim liability for the debt of the old treasonous Confederacy. They are no longer germane to our current politics, unless of course the Teabaggers rise in violent rebellion and then are slaughtered by the United States (as they would be, as our Army is much much bigger than the Teabaggers), then the other sections become relevant again, as the surviving Teabaggers would then be forbidden by the Constitution to hold any government office anywhere in the United States. Ah, it almost makes you wish for a rebellion, doesn’t it. I digress.

Let’s go back to that troubling (to conservatives) first section. It is comprised of several important clauses that establish our very basic rights as citizens of this country. Because, before the the ratification of the 14th Amendment, the rights we are so accustomed to from the Bill of Rights (i.e. the religious freedom, free speech, free association, the right to be protected from warrantless searches and seizures, the right against excessive bail, the right to a fair and public trial, the right to bear arms, the right against cruel and unusual punishment, the right to counsel, the right against self incrimination) were not binding on the states. Meaning the state could freely abuse your federal citizenship rights if it was allowed under the state constitution. What the 14th Amendment did is make the Bill of Rights and all constitutional rights and privileges binding on the states (with a minor exception of the right to be indicted by a grand jury). So when the first clause of the second sentence of Section 1 says ” No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States,” it says that the states cannot fuck with your rights under the Constitution.

The second and third clauses of the second sentence of Section 1 provide the Equal Protection and Due Process clause. “Nor shall any state deprive any person [notice that they do not say citizen here, that is important] of life, liberty or property without due process of law, nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.” I will get to why the reference to “person” and not “citizen” is important in a moment. But first, the Due Process Clause prohibits state and local governments from depriving people of life, liberty, or property without certain steps being taken, like having a notice of eminent domain and a hearing after a reasonable time to determine whether the government can seize your property. This is the clause that has been used to make the Bill of Rights applicable to the states, which I have talked about above. The Equal Protection Clause requires each state to provide equal protection under the law to all people within its jurisdiction. This clause provides the basis for ending government discrimination and it was used to decide Brown v. Board of Education, the Supreme Court decision which precipitated the dismantling of racial segregation in the United States.

So when the conservatives in our country talk about repealing the 14th Amendment, this is what they will be repealing. And I suspect many conservatives are just fine with that. Rights of the people have never really been a main concern to the modern day conservative. Sure, they love their 2nd Amendment rights, but the 4th and 8th Amendments mean nothing to them. And really, neither does the 1st, but I will get to that in a second too.

But to be fair, what conservatives are really talking about when they scream “Repeal the 14th” is the first sentence of Section 1. That sentence says: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.” The meaning is quite clear. You become a citizen of this country if you are born here or if you become naturalized (i.e. a legal immigrant that goes through the naturalization process to become a citizen). This clause was historically important in Constitutional history, as it explicitly overturned the Dred Scott v. Sandford decision of 1857, a case that conservatives use as a dog whistle code word, most memorably George W. Bush in the 2000 debates, concerning abortion. That decision had ruled that blacks could not be citizens of the United States. How that relates to abortion I cannot fathom, but anti-choicers love to equate abortion and slavery. But that is another whole can of worms. Needless to say, the first sentence of Section 1 of the 14th Amendment overturned Dredd Scott, and held that any person born here in this country is a citizen.

That constitutional provision now gets in the way in the immigration debate. For years, some have said that “anchor babies” should not be granted citizenship just because they are born here. Well, the problem with that was that the revered Constitution grants them citizenship. This is not an issue of an interpretation of the words. For example, in the second sentence where the reference is to “persons” and not citizen, there is a constant debate, and a rightful one, as to what the framers of this Amendment meant. What is a person? Well, the Supreme Court has held that a person can mean more than just a citizen. It means any human being, whether citizen or noncitizen. That is why we liberals get so upset about torture of a citizen or noncitizen, because it is unconstitutional. A person also means a corporation, which is why corporations get to donate money to political causes and why they get to be taxed. (As an aside, this is not a reference to the recent Citizens United opinion by the Supreme Court that held that corporations had an unlimited right to donate unlimited amounts of money to political candidates and causes, in opposition to the Court-upheld limitations on actual human citizens, who are limited by an Court-upheld statute to certain limits (currently $2500 per candidate per race)). No, the words of the first sentence are not open to interpretation. A person who is born here is a Citizen. Case closed.

So before we proceed with this debate, it is a undisputed fact that those who want to change the Constitution to better fit their beliefs are not “constitutional” conservatives anymore. And when you advocate and defend torture, you are not a constitutional conservative. And when you say that Muslims, if they want to remain citizens, should be forced to convert to Christianity, in clear violation of the First Amendment free exercise of religion clause, you are not a constitutional conservative. And when you say that a Mosque should not be built in New York City, in violation of not only the First Amendment free exercise of religion clause but also the First Amendment right against the establishment of religion clause, you are not a constitutional conservative. And when you say that there should be warrantless searches because, hey, you have nothing to hide, in violation of the Fourth Amendment protection against warrantless searches, you are not a constitutional conservative. And when you say someone should be executed without the bother of a trial, as a Republican just did, you are not a constitutional conservative. And when you deny the right of marriage (a fundamental right recognized as part of our right to privacy) to any person, you are not a constitutional conservative. And I could go on and on and on and on.

You are anti-constitutional conservatives. Or unconstitutional conservatives. Which ever works for you. Got that?

Good.

Now lets move on to the substance of this “Repeal the 14th” movement. So you want to scratch out that first sentence to appease your bigotry against brown people. What are you going to replace it with?

“All persons born to citizens or naturalized in the United States?” Well, I can see one problem with that right off the bat. What happens when a couple legally immigrates to this country, but before they are naturalized as citizens themselves, they have a baby? Under that language the baby can never be a citizen until he or she goes through the naturalization process him or herself 18 years or more later. I can tell you right now that this will be seen as an unconstitutional restriction on the fundamental right to privacy, in that it places an undue burden on reproduction or procreation. And surely conservatives will not want to be seen as anti-family. But then again, they are happy to be seen as anti-immigrant (legal or otherwise), so who knows.

While we are at it, can we strike redheads from being citizens? How about short people? How about people who disagree with our political views? How about a racial minority? Indeed, since this very important first sentence overturned Dredd Scott, repealing the Amendment to strike this first sentence automatically means Dredd Scott is now good law, which of course means that blacks are no longer citizens of the United States.

This debate over who is a citizen is absurd. Indeed, for certain conservatives, it is contradictory, for they were all hot and bothered just a short while ago about President Obama being BORN IN THIS COUNTRY!!!!! And now, all of a sudden, being born in this country is of no importance?

This debate is a distraction. And it is borne (pun intended) from the bigotry of conservatives.

Asshat of the Day

Well, I guess we got under the skin of yesterday’s inaugural winner of this coveted award (think of Laugh-In’s Flying Fickle Finger of Fate Award), because after bawling his eyes out that he couldn’t post anything to DL, he posted a wild screed about how Mohammedans were basically going to take over the world (check out his comments at 1:52 PM).

Duke, or as I now call him, Alfalfa, you outdid yourself. You win the Asshat of the Day award again. One more win and you get enshrined in the Hall of Wingnuttery Shame.

So come on, there has to be more out there. Send your nominations to MJ@delawareliberal.net.

Markell Gets Out His Veto Stamp

Governor Markell makes some news today in vetoing two bills. The first bill called for mandatory fines be imposed against uninsured drivers should they be cited for driving insured. Markell said he believes this infringes on a judge’s discretion in punishing first offenders. I must say that I agree here. The more we as a state and as a society get away from mandatory sentences and mandatory minimums, the better positioned our judges and justices will be in dispensing actual justice.

The second bill would have changed the the two-tiered structure for the licensing and certification of massage professionals. The bill would have eliminated the ability for a person to become a certified massage technician after 300 hours of training, and instead would have required all massage professionals to train for 500 hours and become licensed therapists. Markell said he thinks this eliminates a lower priced option for consumers, forcing all consumers to purchase services from a fully licensed therapist rather than a certified massage technician. I personally don’t care about the licensing structure for massage therapists, but the Governors’ reasoning seems logical.

Tuesday Open Thread

Welcome to your Tuesday open thread. Feel free to post whatever’s on your mind and play nice!

The latest estimates on the BP oil spill agree with what outside experts were saying all along – the oil leak was much much bigger than BP was estimating. Now BP is on the hook for a $21B fine (that’s in addition to the $20B damages fund that’s already been set up).

BP’s blownout Deepwater Horizon well gushed up to 2.6 million gallons a day, the federal government now says, a total equivalent of 19 Exxon Valdezes. For months, BP insisted the figure of 5,000 barrels a day (less than one tenth the actual amount) was the “best estimate” — even as outside experts got it right. According to this new estimate, the oil giant liable for the Gulf of Mexico disaster will be responsible for a $21 billion fine — $4,300 for each barrel of oil. The subscription-only Energy Guardian notes that this figure for the oil disaster “reveals how far off initial estimates turned out to be”:

At its height, BP’s leaking well gushed 62,000 barrels of oil a day, the federal government said Monday in a revision of its figures that reveals how far off initial estimates turned out to be. The government and BP initially offered estimates of the leak at 1,000 and 5,000 of barrels a day shortly after it began in late April, eventually reaching an estimate of between 35,000 and 60,000 barrels a day after several revisions. The new estimate Monday by federal scientists means 4.9 million barrels of oil likely were released by the well before it was temporarily capped last month. BP hopes to complete an operation this week that will permanently seal the ill-fated well.

The Republicans are still filibustering a bill to lift the cap on damages and to tighten regulations on oil drilling.

Mother Jones has a really interesting article on Bob Inglis, a conservative Republican Congressman from South Carolina who refused to pander to the Tea Party and lost big in a primary.

It was the middle of a tough primary contest, and Rep. Bob Inglis (R-S.C.) had convened a small meeting with donors who had contributed thousands of dollars to his previous campaigns. But this year, as Inglis faced a challenge from tea party-backed Republican candidates claiming Inglis wasn’t sufficiently conservative, these donors hadn’t ponied up. Inglis’ task: Get them back on the team. “They were upset with me,” Inglis recalls. “They are all Glenn Beck watchers.” About 90 minutes into the meeting, as he remembers it, “They say, ‘Bob, what don’t you get? Barack Obama is a socialist, communist Marxist who wants to destroy the American economy so he can take over as dictator. Health care is part of that. And he wants to open up the Mexican border and turn [the US] into a Muslim nation.'” Inglis didn’t know how to respond.

He speaks with John Boehner, who basically tells him to pander. He recounts another meeting with conservative voters:

During his primary campaign, Inglis repeatedly encountered enraged conservatives whom he couldn’t—or wouldn’t—satisfy. Shortly before the runoff primary election, Inglis met with about a dozen tea party activists at the modest ranch-style home of one of them. Here’s what took place:

I sat down, and they said on the back of your Social Security card, there’s a number. That number indicates the bank that bought you when you were born based on a projection of your life’s earnings, and you are collateral. We are all collateral for the banks. I have this look like, “What the heck are you talking about?” I’m trying to hide that look and look clueless. I figured clueless was better than argumentative. So they said, “You don’t know this?! You are a member of Congress, and you don’t know this?!” And I said, “Please forgive me. I’m just ignorant of these things.” And then of course, it turned into something about the Federal Reserve and the Bilderbergers and all that stuff. And now you have the feeling of anti-Semitism here coming in, mixing in. Wow.

Inglis keeps getting in trouble because he refuses to call Obama a “socialist” and this disappoints voters. In case you don’t remember, Bob Inglis used to be a conservative firebrand who pushed every and all conspiracy theories about Bill Clinton. He’s sorry he did that now.

Inglis acknowledges he’s intimately familiar with extreme politics. He was part of the GOP gang that went after Clinton and impeached him for the Lewinsky affair:

I hated Bill Clinton. I wanted to destroy him. Then I had six years out [after leaving Congress in 1999] to look back on that, and now I would confess it as a sin. It is just wrong to want to destroy another human being and to spend so much time and effort trying to destroy Bill Clinton—some of it with really suspect information. We went on and on about Whitewater. We had talked about the strange things about Vince Foster’s death. The drug dealing at Mena airport. So in the six years I was out, I looked back and realized, “Oh what a waste.”

We’ve already seen the return of the politics of fear and smear but it’s 10,000x worse because many don’t seem to be restrained by human decency anymore. I expect lots of craziness and vendettas if Republicans gain control of one of the House this year.

‘The Lower 41’: Fool’s Gold

“Things are seldom what they seem, skim milk masquerades as cream.” Gilbert & Sullivan

Inspired by DelDem’s incisive district-by-district analysis, today I focus on two districts where the conventional wisdom anticipates highly-competitive contests. The contrarian in me strongly disagrees. Feel free to express views contrary to the contrarian. Vociferously.

Many think that the 18th Rep . District (again, follow along on the district maps here) offers up a titanic struggle between the powerful former Speaker of the House Terry Spence and first-term incumbent Mike Barbieri. I think that it’s far more likely that Barbieri will pile up a significantly larger margin this time, even in this purportedly Republican year. Here’s why:

1. Spence is a terrible campaigner and, despite being Speaker, ran a terrible campaign in 2008. Despite being Speaker and despite having strong union support, not to mention the support of the House Rethug staff, he ran a bare-bones mom & pop campaign in 2008. His signs (black lettering on a white background) looked like they were done in someone’s garage. He’s not gonna have the Rethug staff this time, what with bigger fish for them to fry and the likelihood (one would hope) that Speaker Gilligan will not allow them to turn the 11th floor of the Carvel Building into Campaign Central as they did in 2008. Besides, Spence had a fallout with leadership in his own caucus. Even longtime friends like Bill Oberle became estranged from him.

2. Spence is unlikely to have the support of organized labor this time. The only thing that continued to prop up the Potemkin Village of Terry Spence’s electoral success was organized labor support in the district. Spence rarely had a serious opponent. And, it was understandable. As Speaker, Spence displeased more conservative members of his caucus by placing labor bills on the agenda and by putting labor-friendly R’s in control of certain key committees. It was a mutual co-dependency. The Speaker is now Bob Gilligan. Do labor leaders really want to piss the Speaker off so that Spence can come back as a powerless back-bencher? And Mike Barbieri has done nothing to piss off the labor hardasses.

3.  Conventional ‘Rethug Year’ calculations do not apply in this district. First, the numbers are almost overwhelmingly daunting. 6822 D’s; 2944 R’s’ and 3035 I’s. Hard to see an incumbent D in trouble where 53.2% of all registered voters are D’s.  The district also combines the two key strands for D’s in New Castle County: the blue collar Carney partisans and the Newark-area Markell supporters. Again, go back to the map. The areas to the northwest of I-95, and the areas west of Bear-Christiana Road tend to be more Markell territory, and the eastern portion of the district is Carney country. There really is no Republican stronghold in the district. BTW, one thing that Markell and Barbieri had in common in 2008 were endorsements from former U of D football coach Tubby Raymond. That’s one endorsement which meant something. The 2008 primary results for Governor in the 18th were fascinating: 699 votes for Carney, 698 for Markell. While one (meaning I) would stereotypically have thought that this would be a solid Carney district, it was not. Both Carney and Markell will likely work hard  here. Carney needs to roll up a huge margin in the 18th vs. Her Royal Ladyship Michele Rollins, and Markell will certainly want to work hard for one of his earliest supporters, and the ticket as a whole. The 18th is sure to be targeted by D’s as part of their Get Out the Vote effort.

4. This has all the earmarks of a pathetic vanity candidacy. Kind of like Brett Favre, except nobody really wants him back. Spence’s departure from Dover was strange, almost like he had burnt so many bridges that nobody was willing to come to his rescue last time. This time, they’re simply not there. Spence has not really parlayed his years as speaker into much. He’s gotten a couple of ‘pity’ token lobbying accounts, but he’s come a-cropper as opposed to other politicians -turned-whores. Roger Roy comes to mind. Here’s Spence’s puny list:

Terry R. Spence, 26 Freeport Road, New Castle , DE 19720

Channel Pilots, LLC, 24 Jefferson Avenue, Pitman , NJ 08071

Correctional Officer’s Association of Delaware,655 South Bay Rd., Dover , DE 19901

International Union of Operating Engineers, 1375 Virginia Drive,Fort Washington , PA 19034.

He has very few R friends left in Dover, especially with Bill Oberle and Vince Lofink gone. He will get virtually no support from the Republican Party or the House Caucus. He is hardly in prime physical condition to campaign door-to-door. His volunteers will likely consist of long-time family and friends. As someone who has always liked Terry Spence personally, I find the whole endeavor to be pretty sad.

5. Barbieri has proven to be a very good representative. Not only has he ‘voted his district’, he’s been a leader on issues ranging from protecting the social safety net to education. He’s an intelligent legislator, hence he’s in one distinct minority in Dover.  More importantly, I think a lot of people in the district realize that he’s a good solid rep.

Absent a concerted and unrelenting labor campaign on behalf of Spence, which I don’t expect, it is very hard to see how Spence can win this race. Likelihood of D retention: 80%. Likelihood of D retention if labor sits it out: 90%.

We now head further south to Kent County, where Del Dem and, apparently, Celia Cohen consider the 32nd R. D. to be a toss-up. IMHO, it’s not close to a toss-up and may end up being only marginally competitive.

I understand why analysts might consider the race as such. First-term incumbents are the most vulnerable. 2008 was a Democratic year, and 2010 won’t be. Got it.

But, every situation is different, and this one looks more like the exception that proves the rule. Let’s first look at the 2008 results. Brad Bennett didn’t just win, but destroyed long-time incumbent Rep. Donna Stone, by a 57%-43% margin.  While Stone may have had a little baggage, she had extraordinary financial resources at her disposal, as she had carried the insurance companies’ water in Dover for years. Her finance report filed 30 days before the 2008 election showed her sitting on a $40K war chest with a month to go. And her year-end report showed that she raised another $15 K in the last 30 days. $55,000 on hand in the last month, and she still only got 43% of the vote.

Now we have a candidate who has NO name recognition and very shallow roots in the Republican Party (she’s changing her registration from I when she can) running. Does the task now look somewhat less daunting for the incumbent than it did three paragraphs ago? Thought so.

Let’s now look closer at both candidates. For better or for worse (certainly electorally for better), the name Bennett enjoys a strong cachet in this part of Kent County. Brad’s late father, Ed Bennett, was a long-time legislator best-known for being a green eyeshade type of budget hawk. The free-spending tag could never be applied to Bennett pere, as he often exasperated D’s with some of his cold-hearted machinations on JFC (Vince Meconi was his willing partner in crime for the one term he spent in Dover). Bennett was also one of those ‘tough on crime’ guys. Both pere et fils were and, I think still are, in tune with his moderate/conservative Kent County district. In other words, a generic ‘he’s a wasteful free-spending D’, which seems to be the Rethug mantra this year, ain’t gonna fly here. Especially with Bennett (admirably, at least on this issue) leading the fight to cut wasteful patronage out of county and state government.

Brad Bennett may have the best name recognition of any freshman legislator. Not just ’cause his dad was  a legislator or ’cause Bennett Security, the family business, is a well-known employer, but also because Bennett ran a really aggressive race last time. The sign war between Bennett and Stone was one of the best (or, if you hate sign blight, worst) of its kind in recent memory.  And, though the old saw is “Signs Don’t Vote”, the people who put those signs on their lawns do. The guy has built a grassroots machine, absolutely essential in an off-year election. I will go so far as to say that he ran by far the best race of all the D challengers in 2008, and you can bet that he’s already got a warehouse full of signs with locations to match.

By contrast, his R opponent, Beth Buzzell Miller, is not even a Republican yet. Based on appearances, however,  she is pert and perky. “Up With People” comes to mind:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaLT1GFNYOc&feature=related[/youtube]

Based on her issues, it’s the same Rethug regurgitation of talking points. A talking-points version of Up With People.

She’s both a tax attorney and co-owner of a gymnastics facility. She’ll bend over backwards to help you find the smallest loophole. OK, almost enough snark, but not quite. One of my friends and favorite sounding boards for my meanderings here recently raised the proposition that any attorney that runs for state legislative office is, by definition, either a bad attorney or an unsuccessful one. The logic being that a successful practicing attorney simply doesn’t have the time to devote to legislative business. I remember an attorney, Harry Terry, who served one term when the D’s controlled the House from 1983-84. He chose not to run for reelection precisely for that reason even though his law office was within easy walking distance of Leg Hall and he was sure to be reelected. Too bad, b/c he was a good legislator with a great wry sense of humor. Melanie George may or not be the exception that proves the rule. But I digress.

On paper, Miller is a strong candidate. However, you have to wonder about an attorney who was quoted in the paper as saying that she hadn’t changed her registration, despite her claim that she’s been an R for years, b/c it was ‘too difficult’ to know when she could. Three words for her: The Delaware Code, standard in any law office.

Joking aside, she certainly is a credible candidate and may well have a political future if the law thingie doesn’t work out. But, the numbers are daunting: 5621 D’s; 3416 R’s; 3116 I’s in a district that gave Obama a 1500-vote edge. And, with Bennett’s fiscal conservatism and business ties, he is sure to enjoy some solid R support.

While I’m sure that the Vicmead Hunt Club cocktail chatter is glowing about this new R in Kent County, I can’t see it translating into political success. A D with strong name recognition and campaign resources who easily defeated an incumbent R with strong name recognition and a huge war chest running now against someone who isn’t even a Republican yet in a district that voted overwhelming for Obama? Even using Chinese algebra, this doesn’t compute as anything approaching a tossup. Likelihood of D retention: 85%.

You’re Just Noticing This Now?

So this morning we already tripped down memory lane with Crazy Eileen and Delaware Liberal ‘s concern trolling from last year. Well, some conservatives are starting to see the light (why did it take this long?). From Balloon Juice, it’s another conservative self-reflection “It’s getting to be embarrassing to be a conservative.”

These days, however, the most prominent so-called conservatives are increasingly fit only to be cast for the next Dumb and Dumber sequel. They’re dumb and crazy.

Heehee. Can’t disagree with that one.

Let’s tick off ten things that make this conservative embarrassed by the modern conservative movement:

1. A poorly educated ex-sportwriter who served half of one term of an minor state governorship is prominently featured as a — if not the — leading prospect for the GOP’s 2012 Presidential nomination.

4. As Doug also observed, “The GOP controlled Congress from 1994 to 2006: Combine neocon warfare spending with entitlements, farm subsidies, education, water projects and you end up with a GOP welfare/warfare state driving the federal spending machine.” Indeed, “when the GOP took control of Congress in 1994, and the White House in 2000, the desire to use the levers of power to create “compassionate conservatism” won our over any semblance of fiscal conservatism. Instead of tax cuts and spending cuts, we got tax cuts along with a trillion dollar entitlement program, a massive expansion of the Federal Government’s role in education, and two wars. That’s not fiscal conservatism it is, as others have said, fiscal insanity.” Yet, today’s GOP still has not articulated a message of real fiscal conservatism.

6. The anti-science and anti-intellectualism that pervade the movement.
7. Trying to pretend Afghanistan is Obama’s war.
8. Birthers.
9. Nativists.
10. The substitution of mouth-foaming, spittle-blasting, rabble-rousing talk radio for reasoned debate. Michael Savage, Glenn Beck, and Hugh Hewitt are not exactly putting on Firing Line.

I’d like to see more than obscure bloggers, former Reagan officials and retiring/defeated Republicans call out Republicans on this. It’s a start though. Who will be the first credible voice in Republican circles to voice these sentiments? Who has the necessary trust from the movement to do it?

Memory Lane

It was a younger, more innocent time. Remember when Crazy Eileen was crazy instead of the base & energy of the Republican Party?

The first meeting where we really got to see the birthers and the teabaggers take over was June 30, 2009 (sorry, we missed the anniversary). Jason first posted the video on DL on July 18. A few days later, Crazy Eileen went viral.

It was interesting wading through the archives to find this post. There were quite a few posts by various authors about how Republicans were becoming the Crazy Eileen party and how this would hurt them in the long run. I’m not sure what the outcome of the midterms is going to be yet but the extremism of some of the Republican candidates means Republicans will lose some seats that they would have won (like Nevada). We also speculated whether Mike Castle would be the victim of a wingnut uprising. The O’Donnell fans are making a lot of noise right now but whether that’s more than noise is still an open question right now.

No Taking Sides Here, Angel

Sussex County Angel, who writes both at her own blog and at the increasingly irrelevant (now that Delaware Tomorrow is here) Delaware Politics, has issued her opinion on the whole Bodie Brother Battle. Angel reviews the situation and the various reactions to Paul Bodenweiser’s screed against his candidate brother.

David Anderson is not taking sides in the 19th Senate race, but “wouldn’t encourage anyone to vote against Mr. Bodenweiser based upon this” and would also encourage people not to blame Joe Booth.

Delaware Liberal seems to have no issue taking sides calling Eric names which will not be repeated on this site, but may be read [there].

Well, that is incorrect. Delaware Liberal has not taken sides between Joe Booth and Eric Bodenweiser, or between Paul Bodenweiser and Eric Bodenweiser. If we have taken sides, it is against all of you crazy conservatives, for you are all horrible for this country, and the only difference between you is the varying degrees of darkness you would plunge this state and nation into. As for calling poor little Eric names, these are the following adjectives and nouns I used to describe and refer to Eric Bodenweiser:

“particularly odious tea bagger”
“tea bagger”
“crazy and deranged but not really dangerous unless [he] gets power”
“member of the radical religious right”

Aside from the fact that these are factually accurate descriptions, if this is name calling than Angel and her colleagues engage in name calling whenever they put finger to keyboard and thus would have to be considered hypocrites. So to be clear, Delaware Liberal is not taking sides in the 19th SD race. For we believe Joe Booth and Eric Bodenweiser are equally horrible for the State of Delaware.