Delaware Liberal

O’Donnell & Korn’s Electoral Math

What do Korn and O’Whackjob have in common? They both intrigued Tobin enough to put up a post.

He looks at CO’D numbers and finds that she needs to warm up the moderates, or…

A more daring strategy with more risk might be to not try to expand the coalition as much as energize her base and try to get every possible general election voter that agrees with the values she espoused to win the primary. This strategy assumes a low turnout among the Democrats or a perception that there is a largely untapped number of non-Republican Tea Party adherents who have just been waiting for the primary to be over so they could participate.

Stay pure or try to win? I predict she backs off the crazy and appeals to the REST of the Republican party. That is the path of least resistance. We already know that Republicans are, by nature, obedient children. They want to come home.

As for Korn, did you know that people don’t vote in the auditor race? You would if you read Tobin. He finds that a statistically significant number of voters that make it into the voting booth, don’t vote for auditor. Odd that.

Here is a spoiler, but click through for the actual numbers.

We know for sure that the 1,985 voters who did not vote in Tuesday’s primary for Auditor were all Democrats who had taken the time to go vote.

Getting 2,000 people to not dropoff will not be THE deciding factor unless the winning margin is razor thin, but if the general election is even somewhat close convincing the primary voters to vote again in November and complete the ballot could make an impact on the outcome.

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