Here is a thread to put your election predictions. Everyone’s been playing pundit, but here’s some helpful predictions: “El Somnabulo Predicts ‘Em All For You”, “The DE Senate [2010] – Two Weeks Out” and “The DE House [2010] – 2 Weeks Out” from Delaware Dem. Ron Williams also makes his predictions.
Here are the races:
Federal offices
U.S. Senate
Chris Coons (D)vs. Christine O’Donnell (R) vs. Glenn Miller (I) – Independence Party of Delaware vs. James Rash (I) – Libertarian Party
U.S. House
John Carney (D) vs. Glen Urquhart (R) vs. Earl Lofland (I) – IPOD vs. Brent Wangen (I) – Libertarian vs. Jeffrey Brown (I) – Blue Enigma Party
My predictions:
Coons 56%, O’Donnell 43%, others 1%
Carney 54%, Urquhart 45%, others 1%
Statewide offices
Attorney General
Beau Biden (D) vs. Doug Campbell (I) – IPOD
State Treasurer
Chip Flowers (D) vs. Colin Bonini (R)
Auditor of Accounts
Richard Korn (D) vs. Tom Wagner (R)
My predictions:
AG- Beau Biden 85%, Doug Campbell 15%
State Treasurer: Flowers 49%, Colin Bonini 51%
Auditor: Korn 45%, Wagner 55%
State Senate
SD-1 Harris McDowell (D)
SD-5 Christopher Counihan (D) vs. Cathy Cloutier (R)
SD-7 Patricia Blevins (D) vs. Fred Cullis (R)
SD-8 Dave Sokola (D)vs. Louis Saindon (R)
SD-9 Karen Peterson (D) vs. Robert Johnson (R)
SD-12 Dori Connor (R)
SD-13 David McBride (D)
SD-14 Bruce Ennis (D) vs. John Moritz (R)
SD-15 Nancy Cook (D) vs. John Lawson (R)
SD-19 Joe Booth (R)
SD-20 George Bunting (D)
My predictions are marked with bold.
Most everyone agrees that the SD-15 race is probably the most interesting one. I guess I’ll lean to a Cook retain because I think we’re going to have a Democratic night.
State House of Representatives
RD-01 Dennis P. Williams (D)
RD-02 Stephanie Bolden (D)
RD-03 Helene Keeley (D) vs. Robert Bovell (I) – Working Families Party
RD-04 Gerald Brady (D) vs. Richard Carroll (R)
RD-05 Melanie George (D)
RD-06 Debra Heffernan (D) vs. Tom Kovach (R) vs. Matthew Flebbe (I) – Libertarian
RD-07 Bryon Short (D) vs. Judith Travis (R) vs. Scott Gesty (I) – IPOD & Libertarian
RD-08 Quin Johnson (D) vs. Kathleen Rokosz
RD-09 Rebecca Walker (D) vs. John Marino (R)
RD-10 Dennis E. Williams (D) vs. Robert Rhodunda (R)
RD-11 Josh Schoenberg (D) vs. Greg Lavelle (R)
RD-12 Deborah Hudson (R) vs. James Christina (I) – Libertarian
RD-13 John Mitchell (D) vs. Jeffrey Brown (I) – Blue Enigma
Yes, it’s same Jeffrey Brown who’s also running for U.S. House of Representatives, nifty trick.
RD-14 Pete Schwartzkopf (D) vs. Christopher Weeks (R)
RD-15 Valerie Longhurst (D) vs. James van Houten (R) vs. George Barnett (I) – Libertarian
RD-16 J.J. Johnson (D)
RD-17 Mike Mulrooney (D)
RD-18 Mike Barbieri (D) vs. Terry Spence (R)
RD-19 Bob Gilligan (D) vs. Vincent Ruff (R)
RD-20 Francis Swift (D) vs. Nick Manolakos (R)
RD-21 Mike Ramone (R)
RD-22 Dave Ellis (D) vs. Joe Miro (R)
RD-23 Terri Schooley (D) vs. William Stritzinger (R)
RD-24 Ed Osienski (D) vs. Abe Jones (R)
RD-25 John Kowalko (D) vs. Gordon Winegar (R)
RD-26 John Viola (D)
RD-27 Earl Jaques (D) vs. Jay Galloway (R)
RD-28 William Carson (D) vs. Karen Minner (R)
RD-29 John McCutchan (D) vs. Lincoln Willis (R)
RD-30 Bobby Outten (R)
RD-31 Darryl Scott (D) vs. Ron Smith (R)
RD-32 Brad Bennett (D) vs. Beth Miller (R)
RD-33 Robert Walls (D) vs. Harold Peterman (R)
RD-34 Jill Fuchs (D) vs. Donald Blakey (R) vs. Jonathan Marango (I) – IPOD vs. Michael Tedesco (I)
RD-35 Jim Westhoff (D) vs. David Wilson (R)
RD-36 Russell McCabe (D) vs. Harvey Kenton (R)
RD-37 Frank Shade (D) vs. Ruth Briggs King (R)
RD-38 Gerald Hocker (R)
RD-39 Daniel Short (R)
RD-40 Biff Lee (R)
RD-41 John Atkins (D) vs. Greg Hastings (R)
Predicted winners are in bold.
Counting up the predictions the Senate will stay at the same D/R split and in the House I see turnovers in RD-06 (Heffernan replaces Kovach), RD-09 (Walker – Cathcart open seat) and RD-24 (Osienski – Oberle open seat) for the Democrats and turnovers in RD-30 (Smith replaces Scott) and RD-32 (Miller replaces Bennett). That means D+1 in the House.
So, what are your predictions?