Think Progress tallies the numbers and it appears (at this moment) that Boehner is one R vote short.
So… will he manage to twist some Tea Party arms and avoid public humiliation, or will the one vote grow into more nays? Not sure, but if he doesn’t have the votes heading into this why would other Tea Partiers/Conservatives want to go on record for a plan that won’t pass – even if they stick out their political neck and vote for it?