Archive for January 21st, 2012

It’s Uncanny.

Filed in National by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 2 Comments

Game Change

Filed in National by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 28 Comments

This is a massively devastating loss for Mitt Romney. The candidate that conventional wisdom says would be most competitive against President Obama in the general election just had his hat handed to him. But this past week to two weeks have changed my mind on that, the conventional wisdom. I now believe, if things stay as they are, and especially if the economy continues to improve, that no Republican candidate currently running will beat Obama in the general. Romney is fatally damaged by Bain Capital and his tax returns. President Obama may actually want to face Romney and depict him as the poster boy for the 1%, because he is.

And then you have Newt Gingrich, who favorability ratings nationwide as Palinesque, if not worse. They are at -32 last time I checked. That is not only toxic to Gingrich, it will bring the whole GOP down. I just saw Haley Barbour quoted on Twitter saying that he doesn’t want to have Gingrich as the nominee because he likes having a Republican Speaker of the House, meaning of course if Gingrich is the nominee, the Democrats will sweep the GOP out of majority control. And he is right. So Gingrich is not a general election threat.

But he is now a massive threat to Mitt Romney.

South Carolina Primary Open Thread

Filed in National by pandora on January 21, 2012 • 13 Comments

Should be an interesting evening. Maybe they’ll lose some votes and declare Rmoney the winner. Polls close at 7pm.

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Filed in National by pandora on January 21, 2012 • 14 Comments

My best guess is that Newt beats Romney by 7 points. Gingrich: 38% Romney: 31% Paul: 14% Santorum: 12% Consider this… If Romney loses tonight, Mr. Inevitable will be 1 for 3.

Saturday Open Thread [1.21.12]

Filed in Open Thread by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 20 Comments

Newton Leroy Gingrich is headed for a massive blowout win in South Carolina. In last night’s polling, PPP had Gingrich racing away at 40%, with Romney stuck at 26%. In their final three day sample, the PPP poll has Gingrich leading with 37%, followed by Mitt Romney at 28%, Rick Santorum at 16% and Ron Paul at 14%. So you can see the obvious trend. I would not be surprised if Gingrich gets well above 45% tonight. If he gets a majority, then the GOP primary will be rocked to its core.

Acceleration?

Filed in National by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 0 Comments

Delaware’s unemployment rate fell to 7.4-percent last month from 7.6% in November, according to the Department of Labor. Nationally, more good news.

Indeed.

Filed in National by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 1 Comment

“I sometimes wonder if the Republican Party has become the receding roar of white America as it pines for a way of life that will never return,” – David Brooks.

The South Carolina Ad War

Filed in National by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 3 Comments

Not living in a primary state, and not watching cable or network news all that much, and also not wanting to subject myself to have the horrible spectacle of the Republican primary ads. I saw the Perry and Huntsman ads earlier this fall. But none of the nonsense in the New Year. So here we go. Ready…

Delaware SnOMG.

Filed in Delaware by Delaware Dem on January 21, 2012 • 9 Comments

So how are the roads out there. I have a party to go to at 11, so hopefully it is all cleared up by then. Here is an update from Jim Westhoff from DelDOT.