Polling Report and Electoral Vote Update
We have decided to separate the polling and electoral vote map from the Open Thread and give it its own post. Makes sense, since the Open Thread is supposed to be for you, the reader, to offer and discuss something that we are missing, not for us to give you more information.
NORTH DAKOTA–PRESIDENT (DFM Research): Romney 51, Obama 32.
For some reason, Karl Rove views South Dakota as only a lean Republican state, and in 2008, North Dakota was considered a competitive state. I never understand why. When was the last time a Democrat won any of the Dakotas? 1964, when Johnson won everything everywhere.
NORTH DAKOTA–SENATOR (DFM Research): Former AG Heidi Heitkamp (D) 49, Rep. Rick Berg (R) 44.
This would be an important hold for the Dems, key to keeping the Republicans out of the majority in the Senate.
No changes in our Electoral Map:
Obama 290
Romney 169
Too Close to Call 79
I’m stumped at yellow–does that mean leaning Red? Otherwise, geez that’s alot of purple.
Dark Blue–Strong or Likely Obama: Polls have Obama leading by 10 or more
Light Blue–Lean Obama: Polls have Obama leading between 5 and 9.9 points
Yellow–Too close to call: Polls show that either the candidates are tied or have leads of 4.9 points or less.
Light Red: Lean Romney: Polls have Romney leading between 5 and 9.9 points.
Dark Red/Maroon: Strong or Likely Romney: Polls have Romney leading by 10 or more points.
So, there is no purple on the board. Yellow states (Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Virginia and Florida) are the toss up swing states.