Polling Report [5.23.12]
Florida moves into the Lean Romney camp, while Pennsylvania stays in the Lean Obama camp. North Carolina stays as a toss up state, despite the number of Romney ads Jason is seeing in North Carolina right now.
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT ((Gallup Tracking): Obama 46, Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (NBC/WSJ): Obama 47, Romney 43
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama 47, Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama 46, Romney 44
NORTH CAROLINA–PRESIDENT (SurveyUSA): Romney 45, Obama 44
This keeps NC as as toss up.
PENNSYLVANIA–PRESIDENT (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 42
This keeps PA as Lean Obama.
FLORIDA–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac): Romney 47, Obama 41
This causes the state to be classified as Lean Romney now.
ARIZONA–SENATOR (PPP): Jeff Flake (R) 48, Richard Carmona (D) 35; Wil Cardon (R) 40, Carmona 37
HAWAII–SENATOR–DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY (Public Strategy Group for Case): Ed Case 46, Mazie Hirono 45
MASSACHUSETTS–SENATOR–(Hartstad Research for the DSCC): Elizabeth Warren (D) 46, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46
NORTH CAROLINA–GOVERNOR (SurveyUSA): Pat McCrory (R) 44, Walter Dalton (D) 39, Barbara Howe (Lib) 7
VERMONT–GOVERNOR (Castleton State College for WCAX-TV): Gov. Peter Shumlin (D) 60, Randy Brock (R) 27
WISCONSIN–GOVERNOR (GQR for We Are Wisconsin): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 50, Tom Barrett (D) 47
The New Map:
Obama 266, Romney 199, Tossup 73
I don’t like Wisconsin. It should be blue, but the Koch brothers just keep pumping millions into teabaggy TV spots. I think the Wisconsin Dems have been worn down.
Indeed, while we may lose the recall (that race all depends on turnout), the state should return blue in the fall. In 2008 and 2004 it appeared swingy, like PA and Oregon do, but it always goes for the Dems.
Wisconsin Dems have asked DNC for help but were turned down by Debbie Wasserman Schultz. She’s getting a little heat for it, but if she sends money now it will be too little, too late.
One more reason to say “Eff You” when DNC calls me to ask for money. Sorry, I sent it to Wisconsin.
I think you guys need to hope Bill Clinton does not campaign or narate for Obama’s ads anymore. Slick has out done himself today, Having his picture taken with up and coming pornstars. I am sure Hillary is very excited by Slick’s latest actions.
It could have been worse – he could have had his picture taken with bankers.