Friday’s Polling Report [5.25.12]
Holy poll drop, Batman. New presidential polls in Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Wisconsin change our map dramatically. The new map in question. Yes, I am putting it at the top now, and also in the excerpt section you see on the front page.
Obama 310, Romney 170, Tossup 58
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Gallup Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Obama 45, Romney 44
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (YouGov): Obama 46, Romney 42
CALIFORNIA–PRESIDENT (PPIC): Obama 50, Romney 39
Some wingnut commenter said that Romney was going to win California, I guess because he has a mansion with a car elevator there. Well, for now, California stays Strong Obama.
FLORIDA–PRESIDENT (NBC News/Marist): Obama 45, Romney 40
A five point lead, moves Florida into the lean Obama camp.
MASSACHUSETTS–PRESIDENT (Suffolk University): Obama 59, Romney 34
His home state, where they know Romney best. And they hate him.
NORTH CAROLINA–PRESIDENT (National Research for the right-leaning Civitas Institute): Romney 47, Obama 45
A two point lead for Romney keeps NC a tossup.
OHIO–PRESIDENT (NBC News/Marist): Obama 48, Romney 42
A six point lead moves Ohio to lean Obama status.
VIRGINIA–PRESIDENT (NBC News/Marist): Obama 48, Romney 44
Being that this is only a 4 point lead, it moves Virginia into tossup status.
WISCONSIN–PRESIDENT (Reason-Rupe): Obama 46, Romney 36, Gary Johnson 6
I wish more polls listed Gary Johnson as an option. 5-6 points is nothing to sneeze at. If 2 points for Nader cost Gore the election, 5-6 points for Johnson can turn a close reelection for Obama into a landslide. Here, in Wisconsin, it turned a lean Obama state into a strong Obama state.
FLORIDA–SENATOR (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 46, Connie Mack (R) 42
HAWAII–SENATOR (PPP for the League of Conservation Voters): Mazie Hirono (D) 50, Linda Lingle (R) 41
MARYLAND–BALLOT INITIATIVE TO APPROVE MARRIAGE EQUALITY LAW (PPP): Favor 57, Oppose 37
MASSACHUSETTS–SENATOR (Suffolk University): Sen. Scott Brown (R) 48, Elizabeth Warren (D) 47
OHIO–SENATOR (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 37
PENNSYLVANIA–SENATOR (Rasmussen): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 48, Tom Smith (R) 41
VIRGINIA–SENATOR (NBC News/Marist): Tim Kaine (D) 49, George Allen (R) 43
This is the first poll I have seen of this race where it wasn’t a tie.
WISCONSIN–GOVERNOR (Garin-Hart-Yang for Barrett): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 50, Tom Barrett (D) 48
Yes, it’s a Barrett poll, but maybe this race ain’t over yet.
WISCONSIN–GOVERNOR (Reason-Rupe): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 50, Tom Barrett (D) 42
Then again, maybe it is.
WI-GOV (We Ask America): Gov. Scott Walker (R) 54, Tom Barrett (D) 42
Yeah, it really is.
I think this looks like the final map. Put Va and Co in the Obama column and the other three tossups in Romney’s and I’m a happy camper.
This looks like fantasy, just as much as the latest obama quote
Obama: ‘Since I’ve Been President, Federal Spending Has Risen at Lowest Pace in Nearly 60 Years
California was 60/40 Obama, not to long ago. I told you to keep your eyes on California, it is already getting much closer It is going to keep going that way, especially as California’s deficit keeps running out of control.
I already schooled you on California. No more hand holding.
Hey, Rusty, this is not a fantasy map. This is a map based on real scientific polls that have actually been conducted.
Thus, this is a reality map. You are the one living in the fantasy land.
And to prove Rusty lives in fantasy land, what Obama said is the truth. Sorry if it hurts, Rusty.
If what Obama said about Federal spending was true the debt wouldn’t have increased over 5 trillion during his 3 years in office. The numbers used in the WSJ article were well manipulated to give the appearance that the Obama Administration knows what they’re doing. If Obama was really being fiscally responsible he wouldn’t have neglected to come up with a budget in almost four years, especially when the first two years he had control of both the House and the Senate.
Do you want to talk spending, or do you want to talk deficit? Because when you switch back and forth in the same sentence, you are either being dishonest or stupid.