The Polling Report [Fourth of July Edition]

Filed in National by on July 4, 2012

The only change in our map from last week is moving North Carolina from barely Romney to Lean Romney. Otherwise it has been a pretty quiet polling week, as with all other things. Obama leads Romney 310 to 206 with 22 votes tied. And would some please poll Missouri. Not you Rasmussen and We Ask America. Someone reputable.

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Gallup Tracking): Obama 48, Romney 43
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama 48, Romney 45
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney 47, Obama 44
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Democracy Corps): Obama 49, Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Doug Schoen for Newsweek/The Daily Beast): Obama 47, Romney 44
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 49, Romney 46
FLORIDA–PRESIDENT (We Ask America—R): Obama 46, Romney 45

Remember, we don’t count Republican polls in our map.

NORTH CAROLINA–PRESIDENT (SurveyUSA for Civitas): Romney 50 Obama 45

This puts the state in the Lean Romney camp for the first time.

ALABAMA–PRESIDENT (Capitol Research Survey Center): Romney 51, Obama 36

Is it me, or is Romney incredibly weak in the Deep South. He should be leading 60-30. And why is someone polling Alabama?

HAWAII–SENATOR–DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY (Benenson Strategy Group for Hirono): Mazie Hirono 53, Ed Case 38

Yeah, the more progressive candidate is winning. Still, this is an internal Hirono poll, so we will have to wait and see.

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Comments (19)

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  1. Rustydils says:

    My electoral map has it obama 221, romney 206, toss ups 110. Only one of us can be right, wonder which one it will be, me, the very objective one, or you with your self proclaimed liberal bias.

  2. Rustydils says:

    Also, I have a feeling polls are fixing to change in about two weeks. Sherrif arpaio has scheduled a july 17th press conference to explain shocking new revelations concerning obamas eligibility to hold the office of president of us

  3. Jason330 says:

    Great Obma ad in heavy rotation in North Carolina.

    http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=I1pPFlcGav4

  4. Delaware Dem says:

    Hahahaha. Rusty, you are pure comedy gold.

  5. Geezer says:

    Sheriff Joe Arpaio knows how to keep a jackass in suspense, doesn’t he? Can’t wait until he’s running his “investigation” from behind bars.

  6. Rustydils says:

    Geezer, I hate to inform you, the msm ignoring this issue is still not going to make it go away. You may hate arpaio’s guts, but the fact is he is right, a forgey and fraud have been committed, and all the bad mouthing in the world is not going to change the evidence, or get obama off the hook. Even if arpaio is in jail, the investigation will be continued by others

  7. MJ says:

    Oh Rusty, you’re so full of shit your eyes are brown. My G-D, did the doctor slap your head when you were born instead of your ass? That could explain your asinine comments on here every day. Either that or you’re just one stupid person.

  8. MJ says:

    Rusty – publish your map!

  9. socialistic ben says:

    The scene: prison visiting room somewhere in arizona. Sheriff Joe’s attorney is waiting behind the glass. Suddenly the guard brings in a man with a black bag over his head and he is carrying what looks to be take-out menus.

    Attorney: Hey now! this isnt gitmo! you cant make him wear that!
    guard: Make him nothin! he demands to wear this everywhere so no one can see his thoughts
    Joe: that’s right! do you have any idea how many criminals there are at this resort?!
    THE GUARD LEAVES
    Attorney: Joe, again…. this isnt a resort. it’s prison. You’ve been found guilty of sedition and are being investigated for treason.
    Joe: HAH! you mean that puny little stock of RPGs they found? that’s NOTHIN! wait until they find the…..
    Attorney: JOE! SHUT. UP. What are you trying to do?
    Joe: you’re right! they have ears everywhere. did you know they even found out how to hack through Glen Beck’s thought protector?
    HE HOLDS UP A WRINKLED PIECE OF TIN FOIL
    But none of that matters anymore. I have THESE!!!!
    HE PRESSES THE TAKE-OUT MENUS AGAINST THE GLASS
    Attorney: and what are those?
    Joe: ugh! to i have to explain EVERYTHING? just look man! there it is! As soon as the press get’s a hold of THIS I’ll be relaxing in Sedona and Mr Immigrant Pants will be rotting in here with the rest of the…….
    Attorney: Joe, look. This is tough, but i cant be your lawyer anymore…it’s. it’s not you, It’s just that I cant stand you anymore, and Blago has offered to hire me…. he’s dumb as shit and way richer than you…..
    Joe: oh I SEE…. Holder got to ya did he? what did he offer you? Jewels? Money? Ive got it all… there is this bunker 56 clicks south west of…..
    THE BELL RINGS
    Guard: Ok Your Lordship (looks to the attorney) That’s what he wants us to call him. (back to Joe) Time for your tanning session then chow time
    Joe: ok, IAGO! Enjoy yourself while you can. The Arpaio dynasty is closer than ever!
    HE STARTS EATING THE MENUS.

  10. puck says:

    Sheriff Joe has a busy week lined up – his civil trial on racial profiling complaints starts on the 19th. Total witch hunt, I’m sure.

  11. xstryker says:

    Lol, thanks SB, that’s the highlight of my morning

  12. AQC says:

    SB, are you sure you’re not describing Rusty?

  13. MJ says:

    “Freedom’s Lighthouse is dedicated to being a blog of record for the political history of the United States of America. The United States is “Freedom’s Lighthouse” in a world where the light of freedom is not found in many places. We will record that history – past and present – with a great emphasis on video, and will also mix in some of the nation’s top sports and cultural news. In all we do we will seek to uphold the conservative principles that have made America “Freedom’s Lighthouse.”

    Rusty, you posted a link to a bullshit poll by a teabag blog. Huge FAIL!!!

    Come up with something independent and reliable or STFU.

  14. Geezer says:

    Don’t know their methodology, but it’s curious that New Hampshire and Nevada, in which Obama leads by more than the margin of error, are rated “tossups.”

    By the way, Rusty, you earlier said “only one of us can be right.” No, actually, none of you can be “right,” because these polls are based on a fiction: “If the election were held today.” You can argue all day about whether it’s a breath mint or a candy mint, but the fact is you have no mint at all. It’s a fantasy.

    Any professional pollster will tell you that polls have very little predictive value until 2 weeks before the election. The rest is just fodder for the sheep.

    MJ: It’s not a bullshit poll. It’s a standard “add all the polls together” mega-poll. The numbers are different from similar efforts elsewhere, most likely because of a reliance on Rasmussen, which polls every f’cking day, for no good reason except to help overweight its results in such megapolling averages.

    The right wing is unequaled in its belief that a lie, repeated often enough, becomes the truth.

  15. rustydils says:

    MJ, I was going out on a limb and predicting you would not like the map. How are you going to feel after Romney wins 40 states in the real election.

  16. MJ says:

    Rusty, you cut off that limb as soon as you climbed out onto it. You know you linked to bullshit. I know you linked to bullshit. The difference is that I recognize it and you still have your blinders on. Start taking you meds and come back when you can at least post something logical and believable.

  17. Geezer says:

    “How are you going to feel after Romney wins 40 states in the real election.”

    I’ll feel imaginary, because that will happen only in your imaginary world.