I got tired of looking at Michigan tied and wondering why there had been no further polling out of it in a month. So I went to the TPM Poll Tracking site. There, I found that the most recent poll conducted on the presidential level in Michigan was one that I must have missed. The poll was conducted by Marist showing a 4 point lead for Obama, 47% to 43%. Thus, this will move the state to Slim Obama. And I also got tired of seeing Missouri shaded blue when I know Romney leads that state. The reason for that was that the most recent poll not conducted by Rasmussen was a poll done in March showing Obama ahead by 2. The current TPM Polling average for the state is Romney ahead by 4. So we are going to go with that for now, and that changes Missouri to Slim Romney. We also have new polls today out of Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire and New York. Our map now looks like this:
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Gallup Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 45
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU): Obama 48 Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney 47, Obama 44
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Marist for McClatchy): Obama 48, Romney 46
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Purple Strategies): Obama 47, Romney 45
IOWA–PRESIDENT (PPP): Obama 48, Romney 43
Finally a poll there to break the tie. The state moves to Lean Obama.
NEW HAMPSHIRE–PRESIDENT (Univ. of New Hampshire): Obama 49, Romney 45
The state moves to Slim Obama.
NEW YORK–PRESIDENT (Siena College): Obama 61, Romney 34
COLORADO–PRESIDENT (Purple Strategies): Obama 45, Romney 44
FLORIDA–PRESIDENT (Purple Strategies): Romney 48, Obama 45
And we just had a poll yesterday showing a one point lead for Obama. Such is life in a swing state.
OHIO–PRESIDENT (Purple Strategies): Obama 48, Romney 45
VIRGINIA–PRESIDENT (Purple Strategies): Obama 46, Romney 44
NEW MEXICO–SENATOR (PPP): Martin Heinrich (D) 48, Heather Wilson (R) 43
NEW YORK–SENATOR (Siena College): Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 62, Wendy Long (R) 25
NEW JERSEY–SENATOR (Quinnipiac): Sen. Robert Menendez (D) 47, Joe Kyrillos (R) 34.