The big news over the last couple of days since our last polling report was the Pew poll showing a 10 point lead for Obama. Pew is a respected pollster, but this poll is probably an outlier, only because it feels like a 5-6 point race to me, with Obama in the lead. If Obama does win by 10 points, then he is heading for a massive 1984-1972-1964 landslide where he wins 40 states and the Dems retake the House by 30 seats.
Key findings from the Pew poll:
“By a 52% to 37% margin, more voters say they have an unfavorable than favorable view of Romney… Obama’s image remains, by comparison, more positive — 50% offer a favorable assessment of the president, 45% an unfavorable one.”
Not much has changed on the state level, so no map today.
THE NATIONAL POLLS
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Gallup Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 45
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Pew): Obama 51, Romney 41
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney 46, Obama 44
THE STATE POLLS
CONNECTICUT–PRESIDENT (PPP): Obama 51, Romney 43
NEW JERSEY–PRESIDENT (Fairleigh Dickinson): Obama 49, Romney 36
NORTH CAROLINA–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen): Romney 49, Obama 44
GOVERNOR POLLS
MISSOURI–GOVERNOR (Mason Dixon): Gov. Jay Nixon (D) 48, Dave Spence (R) 39; Nixon 50, Bill Randles (R) 35
SENATOR POLLS
NEW JERSEY–SENATOR (NJ-SEN (Fairleigh Dickinson): Sen. Bob Menendez (D) 45, Joe Kyrillos (R) 33
FLORIDA–SENATOR (CBS/Quinnipiac): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 47, Connie Mack IV (R) 40
FLORIDA–SENATOR (PPP): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 45, Connie Mack IV (R) 43; Nelson 45, Mike McCallister (R) 40; Nelson 46, Dave Weldon (R) 39
MICHIGAN–SENATOR (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 53, Pete Hoekstra (R) 43; Stabenow 51, Clark Durant (R) 43
MISSOURI–SENATOR (Rasmussen): John Brunner (R) 49, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 43; Sarah Steelman (R) 49, McCaskill 43; Todd Akin (R) 47, McCaskill 44
MISSOURI–SENATOR–REPUBLICAN PRIMARY (Internal poll, as reported by Dave Catanese): John Brunner 29, Todd Akin 27, Sarah Steelman 25
OHIO–SENATOR (CBS/Quinnipiac): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 39
PENNSYLVANIA–SENATOR (CBS/Quinnipiac): Sen. Bob Casey (D) 55, Tom Smith (R) 37
WISCONSIN–SENATOR–REPUBLICAN PRIMARY (PPP): Eric Hovde 28, Mark Neumann 25, Tommy Thompson 25, Jeff Fitzgerald 13