The Polling Report [8.10.12]

Wow. A really horrible disgusting polling day for Mittens Romney. The National polls now all show minor landslides for the President. But he has a bright spot in an inaccurate poll from Colorado that changes our map a little bit. Hey, if you only poll white old people, of course Mitt Romney leads by 5. But we also have polls from Wisconsin and Virginia, giving us good news.

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (CNN): Obama 52, Romney 45

“Romney’s favorable rating has remained steady (47% now compared to 48% in July), his unfavorable rating has jumped from 42% last month to 48% now. The president’s 56%-42% favorable-unfavorable rating now is little changed from July.”

Other findings: 64% of all Americans, and 68% of independents, think Romney favors the rich over the middle class. And 63% of the public thinks Romney should release more tax returns than he has already made public, a figure which rises to 67% among independents.

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Fox): Obama 49, Romney 40

NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Reuters/Ipsos poll): Obama 49, Romney 42

According to Chuck Todd of NBC News’ First Read, Mitt Romney has not expanded the battleground map:

“Here we are in August and what the Obama campaign, at the beginning of all this, said would be the battleground states are the battleground states. They are not what the Romney camp said and hoped it would be, expanding to places like Pennsylvania and Minnesota (and Michigan and Wisconsin still look like reaches). Look at the four states where the campaigns are advertising most heavily this week (by points) – Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, and Iowa. All four are states George W. Bush and Barack Obama carried. And just one of those is a state Al Gore carried (Iowa).”

“The point is: just four years ago, these were all places Republicans had traditionally been favored in. Yes, it speaks to polarization and a demographically divided America. But this is one reason why Romney’s perceived to be slightly behind – because he hasn’t expanded the playing field. Now, Obama’s defending in all these states, but he’s just not playing defense enough or in any other places. There has been advertising in just 11 states this election, now it’s really only just about eight — with none or very little in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.”

WISCONSIN–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News): Obama 51, Romney 45

WISCONSIN–PRESIDENT (Marquette): Obama 50, Romney 45

COLORADO–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News): Romney 50, Obama 45

Some good news for Mittens. Unfortunately the internals of this poll show that it over-sampled the elderly, and severely undersampled the 18-30 and 31-49 age groups, and Latinos as a well. But I will change the map accordingly until a new poll comes out showing it an Obama state again, which it most assuredly is.

VIRGINIA–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News): Obama 49, Romney 45

VIRGINIA–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen): Obama 48, Romney 46