Since the Dem primary will settle the issue for many of the races in Delaware, election day is effectively a month out.
September 11, 2012 Primary Election
New Castle County Executive – Clark/Gordon Gordon plus 1 (no previous line)
Gordon just seems to want it a little more and that could make the difference. I’m writing in “Tom Kovach” because I can’t bring myself to vote for either of these d-bags.
Insurance Commissioner – Weldin Stewart/Crane/Others Crane plus 1 (no change)
I really haven’t seen much from team KWS, and Crane is running a great race. Still in a multi-way primary against an incumbent, you can’t make Crane anything but a slight favorite.
Wilmington Mayoral Race – Williams/Kelley/others – Williams plus 1 (was “no line’)
The CW on this race appears to give Williams a slight edge, but pandemonium can break out at any moment.
SD 1 McDowell/Brady/Martin – McDowell plus 1 (was McDowell plus 2)
I don’t know how much of my movement on this line is wishful thinking, probably all of it.
SD 6 Miller/Frederick/Staton – Staton plus 6 (no change)
I hate to be over confident, but Staton has been working at this for a while now. I have to think that he has his list of confirmed voters and is working on adding to it.
SD 11 DeLuca/Townsend – even money (no change)
I wanted to make this Towsend plus one, but I used up my wishful thinking. This is going down tot he wire. Since DeLuca hasn’t been tested in so long his campaign muscles might be giving out down the stretch. This is one to watch.
RD 15 Longhurst/Burton – Longhurst plus 3 (no change)
Nobody even commented on this in the last thread.
RD 19 Dunn/Williams – even money (no change)
There is a lot of good will for Dunn here are at DL, and the CW seems to be moving in his direction.
RD 23 Baumbach/Bock/Grant – No line yet (no change)
RD 32 McGlumphey/Bennett- McGlumphy plus 2 (was even money)
This could easily be set at Bennett plus 2. The current line is a pure guess. Even though I favor McGlumphy based on his fine work at the Parks and Rec floor hockey program in the late 70’s.