The Polling Report [8.23.12]
Just when things were looking good for Romney, or at least trending in his favor…..
President Obama has retaken leads in Wisconsin, Ohio, and Florida. And if you can believe it (I don’t), made Georgia a competitive three point race. Meanwhile, the President maintains slim leads in Nevada, and is running up the score in New Mexico and Vermont.
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Gallup Tracking): Romney-Ryan 47, Obama-Biden 45
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney-Ryan 46, Obama-Biden 44
NATIONAL–PRESIDENT (YouGov): Obama-Biden 45, Romney-Ryan 45
FLORIDA–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac/NY Times): Obama-Biden 49, Romney-Ryan 46
OHIO–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac/NY Times): Obama-Biden 50, Romney-Ryan 44
GEORGIA–PRESIDENT (20/20 Insight): Romney-Ryan 49, Obama-Biden 46
MASSACHUSETTS–PRESIDENT (PPP): Obama-Biden 55, Romney-Ryan 39
MONTANA–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen): Romney-Ryan 55, Obama-Biden 38
NEVADA–PRESIDENT ((SurveyUSA for Las Vegas Review-Journal): Obama-Biden 47, Romney-Ryan 45
NEW MEXICO–PRESIDENT (Rasmussen): Obama-Biden 52, Romney-Ryan 38
VERMONT–PRESIDENT (Castleton State College): Obama-Biden 62, Romney-Ryan 25
WISCONSIN–PRESIDENT (Marquette Law School): Obama-Biden 49, Romney-Ryan 46
WISCONSIN–PRESIDENT (Quinnipiac/NY Times): Obama-Biden 49, Romney-Ryan 47
SENATE POLLS
FLORIDA–SENATOR (Gravis Marketing): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 46, Connie Mack IV (R) 39
WISCONSIN–SENATOR (Marquette Law School): Tommy Thompson (R) 50, Tammy Baldwin (D) 41
WISCONSIN–SENATOR (PPP): Tommy Thompson (R) 49, Tammy Baldwin (D) 44
The intrade map minimizes the tossups and has Obama at 303.
For Romney it all looks like he needs to flip Ohio, Virginia and Iowa to have a shot.
Am I reading this right? West Virginia strong Romney?
Yes. No one has polled WV because it is not a swing state. I think Obama lost there in 2008 by 1,000%.
That’s not at all surprising. McCain carried WV in a walk.
I am not sure what system you are using, but 5 of 6 polls in florida in august show romney winning