Yesterday we concentrated on national tracking polls. Today we have some new national nontracking polls to obsess over, all showing substantial bounces for President Obama. And we also have some new state polls too. But first, our new map…
NATIONAL–PPP: Obama 50, Romney 44
NATIONAL–CNN/Opinion Research: Obama 52, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 53, Romney 45 (RV)
This was the big one released yesterday. Here are some more findings:
1. Obama got a 6 point bounce, as the two candidates were tied at 48 in their pre-DNC poll.
2. 82 percent of Democrats are enthusiastic, compared to 76 percent of Republicans.
3. Obama became more popular, weighing in at a 57% favorability rating. Meanwhile, Romney’s favorability rating plummeted from 53% on September 3 to 48% now.
4. The Democratic party has a 51% approval rating. The Republican Party has a 52% disapproval rating.
5. Obama wins on nearly all the issues now. On the economy, Romney’s pre-convention 51-45 advantage is now an Obama 50-49 edge. If you’re running your campaign on the economy and losing on this issue, then you are fucked. On foreign policy, a 49-46 Obama edge is now a whopping 54-42 advantage. On Medicare, a surprisingly weak 49-46 Obama edge is now a robust 54-43 lead. Obama has similar leads on taxes, health care, energy, education and unemployment. Romney’s only lead is on the budget deficit, and it’s a measly 50-47 edge on a signature GOP issue. On “Shares your values,” Obama is at 51, Romney is at 44. So much for Obama being a Kenyan Marxist Communist Socialist Nazi Fascist Hawaiian Radical Black Christian Muslim Usurper.
6. 59 percent of likely voters think Obama will win, 37 percent of dead-enders pretend Romney will. The more that Romney voters think Obama will win, the less they’ll do to help out his campaign.
7. Forty-six percent of registered voters said they were more likely to vote Democratic after the DNC, 36 percent said less likely. Thirty-six percent said they were more likely to vote Republican after the Republican convention, 46 percent said less likely.
NATIONAL–CVOTER International for UPI: Obama 49, Romney 46
NATIONAL–Gallup Tracking: Obama 49, Romney 44
NATIONAL–IBD/TIPP for Christian Science Monitor: Obama 46, Romney 44
NATIONAL–Ipsos/Reuters Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 45 Romney 41 (RV)
NATIONAL–Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 50, Romney 45
NATIONAL–Washington Post-ABC News: Obama 49, Romney 48 (LV); Obama 50, Romney 44 (RV)
ILLINOIS–We Ask America–R: Obama 54, Romney 37
MASSACHUSETTS–Kimball Consulting–R: Obama 56, Romney 40
OHIO–Gravis Marketing–R: Obama 47, Romney 43
WASHINGTON–SurveyUSA: Obama 54, Romney 38
MASSACHUSETTS SENATE–Kimball Consulting–R: Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46, Elizabeth Warren (D) 45
MINNESOTA 6TH CD–Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the Graves campaign: Rep. Michelle Bachmann (R) 48, Jim Graves (D) 46
OHIO SENATE–Gravis Marketing–R: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 47, Josh Mandel (R) 42