The Polling Report [9.18.12]
More polling. Less days until the election. And the race remains the same: President Obama is a clear favorite in the swing states and in the electoral college. We have new polls out of Pennsylvania, Indiana, Kentucky, New Jersey, Wisconsin, and Virginia, and the polls just confirm what we had previously knew.
Here is the map, which is unchanged:
NATIONAL POLLS
NATIONAL–Gallup Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 45
NATIONAL–Ipsos/Reuters Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 46, Romney 41 (RV)
NATIONAL–Monmouth: Obama 48, Romney 45 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 41 (RV)
NATIONAL–Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 48
NATIONAL–UPI/CVoter: Obama 49, Romney 45
NATIONAL–PPP: Obama 50, Romney 46
STATE POLLS
NEW JERSEY–Philadelphia Inquirer: Obama 51, Romney 37
This moves NJ back to Strong Obama.
PENNSYLVANIA–Philadephia Inquirer: Obama 50, Romney 39
This moves PA back to Strong Obama.
INDIANA–Global Strategy Group for the Donnelly campaign: Romney 47, Obama 41
This keeps IN as Lean Romney.
KENTUCKY–SurveyUSA: Romney 53, Obama 39
This confirms KY as Strong Romney.
VIRGINIA–PPP: Obama 51, Romney 46
This confirms VA as Lean Obama.
WISCONSIN–PPP: Obama 49, Romney 48
This confirms WI as Slim Obama.
SENATE POLLS
OHIO–Rasmussen: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 49, Josh Mandel (R) 41
FLORIDA–Rasmussen: Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 47, Connie Mack IV (R) 40
INDIANA–Global Strategy Group for the Donnelly campaign: Joe Donnelly (D) 45, Richard Mourdock (R) 42
MASSACHUSETTS–PPP: Elizabeth Warren (D) 48, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 46
MASSACHUSETTS–
Western New England College: Elizabeth Warren (D) 50, Scott Brown (R) 44 (53-41 among RVs)
NEW MEXICO–Public Opinion Strategies for the Wilson campaign: Martin Heinrich (D) 46, Heather Wilson (R) 41
VIRGINIA–PPP: Tim Kaine (D) 47, George Allen (R) 46
VIRGINIA–Rasmussen: Tim Kaine (D) 47, George Allen (R) 45
WISCONSIN–Feldman Group for the Baldwin campaig: Tammy Baldwin (D) 50, Tommy Thompson (R) 45
WISCONSIN–PPP for D.F.A.: Tammy Baldwin (D) 48, Tommy Thompson (R) 45
GOVERNOR POLLS
NORTH CAROLINA–Rasmussen: Pat McCrory (R) 51, Walter Dalton (D) 38