The Polling Report [9.24.12]

Filed in National by on September 24, 2012

We have a more truncated report this morning, which is good because the last few days have been full of polling goodness, but still, pollsters, and those polled, need a break. We have three new state polls out today, all good news for the President.

NATIONAL POLLS

NATIONAL–Politico/GWU Battleground: Obama 50, Romney 47

Key finding: “The universe of voters who might change their mind also has shrunk significantly. One in five supporting a candidate said they’d consider someone else last month. Now it’s closer to one in 10. Regardless of who they’re supporting, 60 percent now expect Obama to win.”

NATIONAL–Zogby: Obama 49, Romney 41

STATE POLLS

OHIO–Enquirer/Ohio Newspaper Organization: Obama 51, Romney 46–Lean Obama

Key finding: “When survey participants were asked which candidate would do the best job of improving economic conditions in Ohio, Obama prevailed by 5 points.”

Said pollster Eric Rademacher: “Clearly, how Ohioans view the two candidates in terms of their ability to improve Ohio’s economy over the next four years will go a long way in determining who wins Ohio’s 18 electoral votes.”

COLORADO–PPP: Obama 51, Romney 45—Lean Obama

FLORIDA–PPP: Obama 50, Romney 46—Slim Obama

Here are some tidbits of info tweeted out from PPP:

72% of Democrats, 68% of Republicans in FL say they’re ‘very excited’ to vote. No pro-GOP enthusiasm gap.
The big shift in FL- Obama’s lead with Dems now 83/13. Was 79/18 3 weeks ago. Romney losing crossover support.
Voters in FL trust Obama over Romney on the economy by the same 50/46 margin as the horse race numbers.
Obama strong on his own merits in FL- 51% approve, 47% disapprove of him. Best numbers for him since April.
Independents in FL think Romney’s ‘47%’ comments were inappropriate by a 58/37 margin, and they support Obama 51-40.
Mitt Romney’s favorability in FL has dropped from 49/47 to 44/51 over the last 3 weeks.

The verdict I get from Florida is that its voters are very moveable. Florida will go to the winner of the race nationally.

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  1. Liberal Elite says:
    September 24, 2012 at 9:27 pm

    “Florida will go to the winner of the race nationally.”

    Not necessarily. All Obama needs to do is to win in Ohio and Nevada and every state where he’s already ahead by more then 7.5%.

    And if he can’t those two, there are many winning combinations that don’t include Florida (e.g. VA, NH, and CO).

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