Delaware Liberal

The Polling Report [9.24.12]

We have a more truncated report this morning, which is good because the last few days have been full of polling goodness, but still, pollsters, and those polled, need a break. We have three new state polls out today, all good news for the President.

NATIONAL POLLS

NATIONAL–Politico/GWU Battleground: Obama 50, Romney 47

Key finding: “The universe of voters who might change their mind also has shrunk significantly. One in five supporting a candidate said they’d consider someone else last month. Now it’s closer to one in 10. Regardless of who they’re supporting, 60 percent now expect Obama to win.”

NATIONAL–Zogby: Obama 49, Romney 41

STATE POLLS

OHIO–Enquirer/Ohio Newspaper Organization: Obama 51, Romney 46–Lean Obama

Key finding: “When survey participants were asked which candidate would do the best job of improving economic conditions in Ohio, Obama prevailed by 5 points.”

Said pollster Eric Rademacher: “Clearly, how Ohioans view the two candidates in terms of their ability to improve Ohio’s economy over the next four years will go a long way in determining who wins Ohio’s 18 electoral votes.”

COLORADO–PPP: Obama 51, Romney 45—Lean Obama

FLORIDA–PPP: Obama 50, Romney 46—Slim Obama

Here are some tidbits of info tweeted out from PPP:

72% of Democrats, 68% of Republicans in FL say they’re ‘very excited’ to vote. No pro-GOP enthusiasm gap.
The big shift in FL- Obama’s lead with Dems now 83/13. Was 79/18 3 weeks ago. Romney losing crossover support.
Voters in FL trust Obama over Romney on the economy by the same 50/46 margin as the horse race numbers.
Obama strong on his own merits in FL- 51% approve, 47% disapprove of him. Best numbers for him since April.
Independents in FL think Romney’s ‘47%’ comments were inappropriate by a 58/37 margin, and they support Obama 51-40.
Mitt Romney’s favorability in FL has dropped from 49/47 to 44/51 over the last 3 weeks.

The verdict I get from Florida is that its voters are very moveable. Florida will go to the winner of the race nationally.

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