The Polling Report [9.26.12]
Wow. Just look at the new polls out this morning in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. Landslide baby. If Obama wins by those margins there, then he will also win in North Carolina, Missouri, Montana, Georgia, Arizona and South Carolina. Yes, I just said that.
NATIONAL POLLS
NATIONAL–Gallup Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 45
NATIONAL–Ipsos/Reuters Tracking: Obama 49, Romney 42
NATIONAL–PPP for Daily Kos/SEIU: Obama 50, Romney 45
NATIONAL–Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 47, Romney 47
NATIONAL–Bloomberg: Obama 49, Romney 43
STATE POLLS
FLORIDA–NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama 53, Romney 44—Lean Obama
FLORIDA–Washington Post: Obama 51, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 52, Romney 43 (RV)—Lean Obama
OHIO–Washington Post: Obama 52, Romney 44 (LV); Obama 52, Romney 41 (RV)—Strong Obama
OHIO–NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama 53, Romney 43—Strong Obama
PENNSYLVANIA–NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama 54, Romney 42—Strong Obama
ARKANSAS–TalkBusiness/Hendrix College: Romney 56, Obama 35—Strong Romney
NEVADA–PPP: Obama 52, Romney 43—Lean Obama
NEW JERSEY–Monmouth University: Obama 52, Romney 37—Strong Obama
SENATE POLLS
FLORIDA–PPP: Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 46, Connie Mack IV (R) 37
FLORIDA–Washington Post: Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 54, Connie Mack IV (R) 40 (LV); Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 55, Connie Mack IV (R) 37 (RV)
MASSACHUSETTS–Rasmussen: Sen. Scott Brown (R) 48, Elizabeth Warren (D) 48
MICHIGAN–Rasmussen: Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 53, Pete Hoekstra (R) 37
NEVADA–PPP for the League of Conservation Voters: Shelley Berkley (D) 48, Sen. Dean Heller (R) 44
NEW JERSEY–Monmouth University: Sen. Bob Menendez (D) 49, Joe Kyrillos (R) 34
OHIO–Washington Post: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 53, Josh Mandel (R) 41 (LV); Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 51, Josh Mandel (R) 39 (RV)
This is disgusting: According to an ABC/WaPo poll, everybody hates Romney’s 47% comments – except people who make $100K or more. They are evenly split.
That’s funny.
Intrade now has “Dem Pres, Dem Senate, Rep House” at over 50%. Thanks teabags!!
Puck,
If the poll had queried those who earn $100k or more, it probably would have found that only half of them have a conscience.
Polling related — Nate Silver has a book out this week and talks to TPM about the Presidential race here.
I think you may be a bit over optimistic. There is no way Obama is taking GA.
There is one thing that should temper your enthusiasm, Polls don’t count for one single vote on election day. Polls have never elected a President Yet. The electorate do that, All 130 million of them, not a few thousand people answering poll surveys. If you take all the polls from the national polls, and all the polls from the state races, they probably don’t add up to more than 13,000 people polled over the last couple of weeks. Well guess what, do the math, That means you are basing all your exitement on surveys of less than 1/10 of 1% of the people who are actually going to vote. Remember what Tricky Dick used to say (No, not the one about “Im not a crook”, the other one, “The silent majority”). That second one is the one you liberals should be scared of.
c’mon rusty, this is getting a little pathetic.
I guess by your logic, Obama is in a great position to win Idaho and Mississippi.
This is interesting — Yahoo/Esquire did a poll trying to figure out which candidate for President is perceived as the bigger liar. RMoney wins the prize, but be sure to click though the graphics.