Friday Polling Report [9.28.12]
Now this ironic, from the Dallas Morning News:
“For all the talk about whether Mitt Romney should distance himself from George W. Bush — and the policies of the last GOP White House — a new survey shows that the former president actually has better favorability ratings than the Republican nominee.”
Well, we know Bush’s policies are still vastly unpopular, but Bush himself, by staying out of sight, as grown less hated. Even I don’t hate the man anymore. He’s a bubbling idiot and I enjoy laughing at him now. Indeed, Mr. Bush’s latest venture into public speaking will be right before the election in the Cayman Islands, and he will be speaking about investing your money wisely. I kid you not. No, this is not a headline from the Onion. Anyway, the most recent Bloomberg poll shows Bush with a 46% to 49% favorable rating as compared to Romney’s 43% to 50%.
No major changes in our map today. Indiana moved to Strong Romney, but that’s it. The rest of the polling confirmed prior results.
NATIONAL POLLS
Fox News: Obama 48, Romney 43 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 41 (RV)
Gallup Tracking: Obama 50, Romney 44
Ipsos/Reuters Tracking: Obama 49, Romney 42 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 38 (RV)
Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 48
STATE POLLS
ARIZONA–Moore Information–R: Romney 46, Obama 42, Others 4
ARIZONA–Rasmussen: Romney 52, Obama 42
Now this is interesting, we have Rasmussen, the only real poll skewer in the business, arguing against another Republican outfit that finds a close 4 point race. We discount Rasmussen always. Arizona remains Slim GOP.
CONNECTICUT–PPP: Obama 54, Romney 41—Strong Obama
INDIANA–(Howey/DePauw): Romney 52, Obama 40—Strong Romney
NEVADA–NBC News/Marist: Obama 49, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 51, Romney 44 (RV)—Lean Obama
NEW HAMPSHIRE–Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the Hassan for Governor campaign: Obama 52, Romney 45
NEW HAMPSHIRE–NBC News/Marist: Obama 51, Romney 44 (LV), Obama 51, Romney 43 (RV)
The average of the three results today is 51.3 to 44, or a Lean Obama lead.
NORTH CAROLINA–NBC News/Marist: Obama 48, Romney 46 (LV); Obama 49, Romney 45 (RV)—Slim Obama
VIRGINIA–Suffolk University: Obama 46, Romney 44, Others 2—Slim Obama
WASHINGTON–Gravis Marketing–R: Obama 56, Romney 39—Strong Obama
SENATE POLLS
ARIZONA–Moore Information–R: Jeff Flake (R) 43, Richard Carmona (D) 40, Marc Victor (L) 4—Slim GOP
INDIANA–Howey/DePauw: Joe Donnelly (D) 40, Richard Mourdock (R) 38, Andrew Horning (L) 7—Slim Dem
MAINE–Rasmussen: Angus King (I) 45, Charlie Summers (R) 33, Cynthia Dill (D) 14—Strong Independent / Dem
MINNESOTA–Mason Dixon: Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D) 57, Kurt Bills (R) 28—Strong Dem
NEVADA–NV-SEN (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Dean Heller (R) 49, Shelley Berkley (D) 43 (LV); Sen. Dean Heller (R) 48, Shelley Berkley (D) 44—Slim GOP
VIRGINIA–VA-SEN (Suffolk University): George Allen (R) 44, Tim Kaine (D) 44—Slim Dem
GOVERNOR POLLS
INDIANA–Howey/DePauw: Mike Pence (R) 47, John Gregg (D) 34, Rupert Boneham (L) 5
NEW HAMPSHIRE–Feldman Group for the NH Freedom Fund–D: Maggie Hassan (D) 50, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 41
NEW HAMPSHIRE–NBC News/Marist: Maggie Hassan (D) 47, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 45 (LV); Maggie Hassan (D) 47, Ovide Lamontagne (R) 44 (RV)
NORTH CAROLINA–NBC News/Marist: Pat McCrory (R) 52, Walter Dalton (D) 39 (LV); Pat McCrory (R) 51, Walter Dalton (D) 38 (RV)
Sorry DD, I’m not softening on Bush. He is soaked in blood and is also responsible for the impoverishment of millions in the economy he was entrusted with.
We were talking about polling for Gary Johnson (the Libertarian candidate for President) yesterday, and today I run across this: Poll Shows Romney Winning High Water Mark for Libertarian Vote.
Once you get past the claim that Libertarians are a “key swing vote”, go to the bottom of the article to see how Libertarians have voted in Presidential elections since 1980. What you discover, is that Libertarians vote for the Republican candidate BY A WIDE MARGIN, except in 1992, when a third of them voted for Perot. So everyone who keeps making the case that Libertarians are just embarrassed Republicans should bookmark this page. Not only are they Republicans, they aren’t even embarrassed by it, if this data is correct.
I was born in DE.., and lived there for thirty years. This article make me very happy I ileft. How anybody could overlook the incompetence of Obama is truly amazing.
We have two choices, a guy who spends like a drunkin sailor and gets no results beyond passing our tax money to his contributors , and a guy who has held major leadership positions and made money and been succesful.
Only in an ice blue state would anyone support the former.
Obama makes Jimmy Carter look like a leader.
The current GOP makes Reagan look like a flaming liberal.
Osama Bin Ladin is dead and General Motors is alive.
Thats 2 things Obama has done that Romney has said he would not have.
The shopping is still tax free here in DE anytime you wanna stop by.
You forgots the secret sales tax!!! That general receipts tax that says “suck it, business owner”
Nothing says liberal like underhanded taxation!
The DE gross receipts tax on retail products is a backdoor sales tax, no doubt.
Let’s keep some perspective on gross receipts tax. It is well under one percent (0.75% for retailers, 0.18% for manufacturers) and has been cut since last year. I don’t think that’s “sucking it” for businesses. http://www.revenue.delaware.gov/information/grrates.shtml
And what is the “net” tax paid relative to earnings? Much higher.