The Polling Report [10.4.12]

Some interesting things in those snap polls (and if you want to talk about skewed polls, Republicans, did you know that the CNN poll did not poll anyone under the age of 50 or of color?). First, the CBS poll found that 69% thought President Obama cares about their needs and problems, which is up from 53% before the debate. Second, the favorable / unfavorable numbers of both candidates remained unchanged after the debate. Indeed, while Romney won, he was an absolute and complete asshole during it. How many times did he interrupt Jim Lehrer and the President? And his “I get to have the last word” reaked of privileged entitlement. Peter Hamby of CNN tweeted: “So if [Romney] didn’t fix his favorables with this debate, it means his victory was worth ZERO.”

And now onto the state of the race where it really matters:

NATIONAL POLLS
(Gallup Tracking): Obama 49, Romney 45
(GQR/Resurgent Republic for NPR): Obama 51, Romney 44
(Ipsos/Reuters Tracking): Obama 47, Romney 41 (LV); Obama 46, Romney 39 (RV)
(Rasmussen Tracking): Obama 49, Romney 47
(UPI/CVoter): Obama 49, Romney 46

STATE POLLS
ARIZONA (PPP): Romney 53, Obama 44
FLORIDA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 47, Romney 46, Others 1 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 43, Others 2 (RV)
HAWAII (Merriman River Group for Civil Beat): Obama 62, Romney 30
MASSACHUSETTS (Mass Insight): Obama 60, Romney 34
MISSOURI (PPP): Romney 51, Obama 45
OHIO (NBC News/Marist): Obama 51, Romney 43, Others 1 (LV); Obama 51, Romney 42, Others 2 (RV)
VIRGINIA (NBC News/Marist): Obama 48, Romney 46, Others 1 (LV); Obama 48, Romney 45, Others 1 (RV)
WASHINGTON (SurveyUSA): Obama 56, Romney 36
WISCONSIN (Marquette Law School): Obama 53, Romney 42 (LV); Obama 54, Romney 40 (RV)

SENATE POLLS
ARIZONA (PPP): Richard Carmona (D) 45, Jeff Flake (R) 43
FLORIDA (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 52, Connie Mack IV (R) 41 (LV); Sen. Bill Nelson (D) 52, Connie Mack IV (R) 38 (RV)
MASSACHUSETTS (Mass Insight): Elizabeth Warren (D) 48, Sen. Scott Brown (R) 44
MISSOURI (PPP): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 46, Todd Akin (R) 40, Jonathan Dine (L) 9
MISSOURI (Rasmussen): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 51, Todd Akin (R) 45
OHIO (NBC News/Marist): Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 41 (LV); Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) 50, Josh Mandel (R) 41 (RV)
WISCONSIN (Marquette Law School): Tammy Baldwin (D) 48, Tommy Thompson (R) 44 (LV); Tammy Baldwin (D) 47, Tommy Thompson (R) 43 (RV)