We have some new polls out of Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania this morning, but no changes in the map below. The national and tracking polls are all over the place. We have one tracking poll giving the President a six point lead, 2 giving Romney a 2 point lead, 2 showing the race tied, and Gallup giving Romney a 7 point lead.
NATIONAL POLLS
IBD/TIPP Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 42
Politico/George Washington University: Romney 49, Obama 47
Public Policy Polling: Obama 48, Romney 48
NBC News / Wall Street Journal: Obama 47, Romney 47
Gallup Tracking: Romney 52, Obama 45 (LV), Romney 49, Obama 46 (RV)
Rasmussen Tracking: Romney 49, Obama 47
STATE POLLS
MICHIGAN (Angus Reid): Obama 52, Romney 43–LEAN OBAMA
OHIO (Angus Reid): Obama 48, Romney 48
OHIO (CBS News/Quinnipiac): Obama 50, Romney 45
The average of the two is Obama 49, Romney 46.5, or a SLIM OBAMA lead
PENNSYLVANIA (Morning Call/Muhlenberg): Obama 50, Romney 45–LEAN OBAMA
SENATE POLLS
MISSOURI (PPP): Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 46, Rep. Todd Akin (R) 40, Lbertarian Jonathan Dine 6.
“There were a lot of reasons to think this race might shift back toward Todd Akin as the furor over his controversial comments in August died down. But his image has actually just continued to get worse as the election approaches. 31% of voters now say they have a favorable opinion of him to 57% with a negative one. It was a 33/55 spread earlier this month.”