Delaware Liberal

The Polling Report [10.29.12] (Updated with more Tracking Polls)

Here are some polls released on Saturday and Sunday. All very good for the President. Indeed, the Associated Press reports that President Obama “is poised to eke out a victory in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed to win re-election, having beaten back Republican Mitt Romney’s attempts to convert momentum from the debates into support in all-important Ohio.”

“While in a tight race with Obama for the popular vote, Romney continues to have fewer state-by-state paths than Obama to reach 270. Without Ohio’s 18 electoral votes, Romney would need last-minute victories in nearly all the remaining up-for-grabs states and manage to pick off key states now leaning Obama’s way, such as Iowa or Wisconsin.”

Meanwhile, and interestingly, Gallup finds the composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008. That is not good news for the Republicans.

Here is the current map based on the recent polling in each state, with the most recent results since our last report posted below:

NATIONAL POLLS
PPP: Romney 49%, Obama 48%
Gallup: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (LV); Obama 48%, Romney 47% (RV)
IBD/TIPP: Obama 45%, Romney 44%
RAND: Obama 51%, Romney 44%
ABC News/Washington Post: Romney 49%, Obama 48%
Politico/George Washington University: Obama 49%, Romney 48%
Reuters/Ipsos: Obama 49%, Romney 46%

STATE POLLS
FLORIDA–The average is Obama 48%, Romney 47.5%, or SLIM OBAMA.
Pharos: Romney 47%, Obama 47%
PPP: Obama 49%, Romney 48%

OHIO–The average is Obama 50%, Romney 48.33%, or SLIM OBAMA.
PPP: Obama 51%, Romney 47%
Cincinnati Enquirer: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
Gravis: Obama 50%, Romney 49%

MINNESOTA–SLIM OBAMA
Minneapolis Star Tribune: Obama 47%, Romney 44%

NEBRASKA–STRONG ROMNEY
Wiese Research Associates–Romney 52%, Obama 38%

NEBRASKA’s 2nd CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT–LEAN ROMNEY
Wiese Research Associates–Romney 50%, Obama 45%

NEW HAMPSHIRE–SLIM OBAMA
PPP: Obama 49%, Romney 47%

PENNSYLVANIA–SLIM OBAMA
Pharos: Obama 50%, Romney 46%

TENNESSEE–STRONG ROMNEY
MTSU: Romney 59%, Obama 34%

VIRGINIA–The average is Obama 50%, Romney 46.5%, or SLIM OBAMA
Priorities USA Action: Obama 49%, Romney 46%
Washington Post: Obama 51%, Romney 47%

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