Delaware Liberal

The Polling Report [11.4.12]

Team Romney is already offering excuses for their upcoming loss on Tuesday. And some campaign insiders are in full CYA mode in speaking on the record to Politico saying that Romney’s first choice for Vice President was Chris Christie, rather than Paul Ryan. I suppose they could also be trying to latch onto Christie’s recent bipartisan and excellent performance during the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, but instead it looks like a tell tale sign of campaign already in the post mortem mode.

Speaking of Sandy:

Campaign sources concede superstorm Sandy stalled Romney’s momentum. For eight straight days, polls showed him picking up support. The campaign’s internal polling, which is using different turnout models than most public polls, had him on solid ground in Florida, Virginia, North Carolina and Iowa. He had a slight lead or was tied in Ohio, New Hampshire and Wisconsin and was in striking distance in Pennsylvania, a state Republicans hadn’t won since Ronald Reagan in 1984. …

But then came something very big: a natural disaster that left a path of death and destruction on the East Coast. Suddenly, there was little talk about small things.

Yeah, I would like to see what the Romney campaign’s turnout model is. I suppose they are like most of the right wing and assume that a 2010 electorate will show up, rather than a presidential year electorate. What morons.

NATIONAL POLLS
PPP: Obama 50%, Romney 47%
Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

STATE POLLS
COLORADO–SLIM ROMNEY—(Reuters/Ipsos): Romney 47%, Obama 45%
FLORIDA–TIED—(Reuters/Ipsos): Obama 47%, Romney 47%
IOWA–The average is Obama 47, Romney 43, or SLIM OBAMA—(Des Moines Register): Obama 47%, Romney 42%; (Project New America): Obama 47%, Romney 44%
NEW HAMPSHIRE–TIED—(WMUR): Obama 47%, Romney 47%
OHIO–The average is Obama 47.5, Romney 45, or SLIM OBAMA—(Reuters/Ipsos): Obama 46%, Romney 45%; (Project New America): Obama 49%, Romney 45%
PENNSYLVANIA–LEAN OBAMA—(Public Policy Polling): Obama 52%, Romney 46%
WISCONSIN–The average is Obama 49.5, Romney 45.5, or SLIM OBAMA—(Public Policy Polling): Obama 51%, Romney 48%; (Project New America): Obama 48%, Romney 43%

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