Too soon? Clinton and Christie Lead in New Hamshire Polling
Public Policy Polling took an early look at the 2016 presidential field in New Hampshire.
The firm found two clear frontrunners in the race: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie for the Republicans and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for the Democrats.
Democrats overwhelmingly back a Clinton candidacy, providing further indication that the party’s nomination in 2016 is likely hers if she wants it. The poll shows that 60 percent of New Hampshire Democrats give her nod, creating miles of separation from the other seven candidates included in the survey. After Clinton, only Vice President Joe Biden — who cryptically told reporters on Election Day that he wasn’t voting for himself for the last time — reaches 10 percent.
Twenty-one percent of Republicans in the state favor Christie as the party’s nominee in four years. A cluster of prospective candidates trail Christie but still crack 10 percent: Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (14 percent), former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice (13 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (11 percent) and Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan (10 percent).
In the spirit of this PPP poll, let me be the first to say, “Matt Denn for Governor!”
Via TPM
First of all, yes. it is too soon. Second, if the choice in 2016 is between a Clinton and a Bush, Im gonna want Obama to re-legalize guns so I can shoot myself in the face.
You knew that a year ago. Instead of spending all that money on the Public Policy Poll they could have just called Jason for $100.00
On your closing line, will it be Denn, or do you think some “friendship” deal will be struck to give Carney another crack at it and Denn, if interested, goes for US Congress? Food for thought.
EDIT: Clinton and Huckabee/Santorum (tied for the GOP) lead in Iowa..
Christie ain’t gonna be nominated unless he is hiding a Hispanic somewhere under his jacket.
I don’t think Denn wants to work in DC. And given Carney’s limited charisma, he’s better off slowly gaining seniority against token opposition, and waiting for a Senate seat so he can make an “experience” argument – probably with Carper’s support.
The general thing that happens on the Republican side is that the runner up from the race before gets the nomination (McCain, Romney).
Santorum 2016 you guys. Santorum 2016.
The best way for Dems to win in 2016 is to prove that Democratic policies are putting us on a tangible path to a broadly shared prosperity. Failing to do that is what made this election as close as it was. Obama is like a pitcher who didn’t have his best stuff but won anyway by throwing junk, and benefiting from errors by the other team.
V
Correcting your spelling
Sanctimonious 2016 you guys. Sanctimonious 2016
(also consider synonyms “odious”; “self-sanctified” etc.)
Unless something extraordinary happens in the Republican Party, I’m with V. Santorum/Sanctimonious 2016.
The best thing that the Ds can do is to have another horse in the back of your minds beside Hillary. She may well run but what if she chooses not to? She is 65 and would be almost 70 when she took office. There is no doubt she wanted the Presidency, in four years a lot of things can happen, including changes in her desires.
This election was actually alot closer than peoole realize. If Romney had gotten 340,000 more votes in the 4 swing states of florida, ohio, virginia, and new hampshire, and the were spread out perfectly, he would have won the presidency. Now that is close, when you consider 120 million votes were cast. And the number is really only half that. Another words, if half the 340,000 votes went to Romney, or 170,000, votes went for romney, then he would have 170,000 more, and obama would have 170,000 less. Romney needed 65,000 more in florida, 108,000 more in ohio, 117,000 more in virginia, 77,000 more in new hamshire. So if half of those numbers voted for romney, the romney would be president.
I know that is not the correct way to look at it, but it is amazing that mathmatically only 170,000 votes in those four swing states would have had to vote for romney intead of obama and we would have a different president, ah, but not to be
romney also lost the popular vote by almost 3 million. would you have been satisfied to have another W? The democrats also got more total votes in congressional races even though the republicans kept the house. This was a close race, yes… but the message was clear. One could also make the argument… “if Romney’s ideas hadn’t been unacceptable to so many people, he would have won.”
Rusty, reflect on how sure you were of a Romney landslide. You made some pretty bold predictions, I’m guessing fueled by the same information that was giving me such anxiety. That information was intentionally misleading. Makes ya wonder what else the media outlets that reported that information has been lying about.
Also, im not sure if i have said it or not, but I’m sorry for your family loss, and I hope you’re doin alright. It would be very very boring around here without you. 🙂