Conventional wisdom holds that the Republicans will hold the House in 2014. Indeed, typically, the President's party in the six year midterm suffers an average loss of 26 seats. The only time in recent memory that the President's party has actually gained seats was in 1998, when the Democrats gained in the House as the backlash against the partisan impeachment of Bill Clinton began.
And even if the Dems won the national popular vote again as they did in 2012, the Republicans have been so ruthless and skilled in their gerrymandering efforts that it will take a Democratic popular vote win of at least 8 points to win the House by 1 seat. So there is reason why all the Vegas money is on the GOP keeping control of the House next year. But the
first Democracy Corps Congressional Battleground survey of the competitive House races this year has some encouraging news for Democrats.