If you oppose immigration reform, you should be forced to take the US Naturalization test. Like these idiots below, it is quite likely that you will not pass. In my perfect world, you, the idiot American citizen, would be deported.
While Republicans battle each other, they are blind to the iceberg they’re about to ram — with catastrophic consequences.
In spite of being warned of the existential danger they face if Latinos continue to vote by wide supermajorities for Democrats, Republicans insist on isolating themselves by serially blocking immigration reform, thereby provoking mass-scale anger among the fastest-growing voter group in America.
According to the Pew Research Center, approximately 50,000 American Latinos turn 18 years old each month. There are now about 23 million voting-eligible Hispanics in the country.Arturo Vargas, executive director of the nonpartisan National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials, recently told me on my show that if Latinos’ voter participation continues to grow cycle after cycle, eventually reaching the level of non-Hispanic white and African-American voters, the Latino vote would be decisive in California, Texas, Florida, Illinois, Colorado, Arizona, Nevada and New Mexico.
In other words, Hispanics will be in the position to stop Republicans from being elected to statewide office (as has already happened in California) – or ever again reaching the White House.
Republicans, meet your iceberg.
Figuring out who will win a Senate election that’s months away requires figuring out what matters and how much it matters. Does the president’s popularity affect Senate races? Or should you only look at the horse-race polling?
FiveThirtyEight hasn’t released its Senate model yet, and different statistical models look at different things. But simple models tend to do well. Last month, I analyzed Senate elections since 2006 and showed that even early polls (taken from in the first half of an election year) have been a better predictor of the outcome than the president’s approval rating. Although presidential approval still matters.
Looking at early polls then (i.e. polls out right now), then the Democrats will likely retain North Carolina, Iowa, Michigan, Arkansas and Alaska, will likely lose North Dakota and West Virginia, and Louisiana, Georgia and Kentucky are too close to call. That would mean the Democrats will only lose 2 seats, but have a chance to gain 1 seat if they win Georgia and Kentucky and retain Louisiana.