A Delaware Poll! Coons leads Wade by 15, and we got approval numbers on Obama, Biden, Carper and Markell
For some reason, the Republican-leaning Rasmussen polled little ole Delaware, and found Senator Chris Coons (D) leading Republican nominee Kevin Wade, 49% to 34%.
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of [750] Likely Delaware Voters finds Coons leading Republican challenger Kevin Wade by 15 points – 49% to 34%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while 12% are undecided.
The questions in the poll also asked about the favorability of Vice President Biden, Senator Carper, Coons and Wade, but I cannot access the cross tabs for those results without being registered.
UPDATE: A source who has access to some of the internals that are hidden behind a pay wall on Rasmussen’s site has sent me snapshots of the favorability ratings of Vice President Biden and Senator Carper, and the approval ratings of Governor Markell and President Obama. Unfortunately, my source did not have any further numbers for Senator Coons or GOP Nominee Kevin Wade.
Vice President Biden has a 66% favorable rating versus a 34% unfavorable rating.
Senator Carper has a 60% favorable rating, versus a 32% unfavorable rating.
President Obama enjoys a 60% approval rating in Delaware, versus a 39% disapproval rating. He should come here for lunch more often.
Finally, we have some interesting approval numbers for Governor Markell. The toplines indicate that he has the standard 60’s approval rating for Democrats in Delaware. He has a 64% approval rating, and a 32% disapproval rating. But I was also sent the breakdown among partisan and ideological lines.
78% of Democrats approve of Markell, but only 29% of those do so strongly. 49% of Democrats only “somewhat approve.” That was kinda shocking to me, so I chalked that up to liberal/progressive dissatisfaction with his economic record and policies. And sure enough, 55% of self described liberals only somewhat approve of Markell’s job performance. 30% of liberals strongly approve.
73% of self described Moderates approve of Markell, with a similar differently between somewhat versus strongly approving: 43% of moderates somewhat approve, 30% strongly do so.
Rasmussen has a partisan category called “Others,” which I suppose covers Libertarians, Greens, Unaffliateds, and IPODs. 60% of the Others approve of Markell, 36% do not.
57% of self described Conservatives disapprove, with 29% of those doing so strongly. 41% approve, which is high for a socially progressive Governor.
Finally, and most surprisingly, more Republicans in Delaware approve of Governor Markell than disapprove. He has a 49% approval rating, and a 48% disapproval rating among Republicans.
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Those are lousy numbers for Coons.
How do you figure? This is a Republican poll, so automatically add 5 points to his total. So now we are at 54. Is that a bad number? What is a good number? Does he have to get a polling number over 60 to satisfy you and Loudell?
I hereby bet you that Coons will do no worse than the 57% he garnered in 2010.
And how are these numbers for Wade? He got the Republican base in this state nailed down (at 34%), but these numbers show him making no inroads with independents. And this being a Democratic state, you cannot assume that all uninformed undecideds will go to Wade. A good number of them will come home to Coons.
No, that’s all Wade will get, and Coons isn’t in any trouble. But the 49% figure is the same as his approval rating by other pollsters. Under 50% approval in a solid-blue state isn’t very good.
In short, his “can’t we all just get along?” shtick isn’t making him invulnerable.
When Coons was county council president during the Gordon I era, he tried the “why can’t we get along” shtick. We saw how that worked out, and they were in the same party. Why does he still think that tactic will work with Republicans?
I would love to see the crosstabs on the favorability in the Rasmussen. I wonder how much dissatisfaction there is among Democrats.
I’d say a skin-of-his-pate victory might do some good towards making act like a blue-state senator… but it’s likely to make him “move more toward the center”… of course, a large victory will prove to him that “moving more toward the center” is a good idea.
I knew he was corporatist going in, but I didn’t realize he was an Israeli stooge until a few months ago.
ben nails it. The “move more to the center” is the castor oil that heals any and all elected Democrat’s ills.
A source has sent me the cross tabs, and I am going to update this post with those figures.
With Markell’s numbers and this…
“Senator Carper has a 60% favorable rating, versus a 32% unfavorable rating.”
The DEGOP should just declare victory and go home.
Two thoughts:
I always wonder just how much these “approval ratings” are really a factor of name recognition. The vast majority of the voting public, in my anecdotally based experience, doesn’t have deep, well-thought-out opinions about most politicians, to put it charitably. We are an ignorant people; our attention is generally elsewhere most of the time. Coons is still a relative newcomer on the scene compared to the others, who’ve all run statewide in a general election at least four times to Coons’ one. Familiarity breeds favorability?
Second, you may want to update your Markell photos – the hair is a giveaway that it’s old. His administration can now be divided into two time periods: Combover and Shaved. I imagine we have Carla to thank for the latter.
The 49/48 republican approval of Governor Markell is the LEAST surprising number here. He governs mostly like a Republican, what’s not to like: Pro-Business, pro destruction of public education.
The shocker is the support from Dems and progressive Dems after 6 years of attacking progressive education agenda and handout after handout to failed jobs “opportunities” to corporations.
Voters from the Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party are suffering from Stockholm syndrome.
@John Young: What, pray tell, is the proper “progressive” position on education?