Day: April 15, 2015

Jason is always fond of London's odd gambling market, which you can find a bookie to bet on everything it appears. And the reason he is fond of it is because, to him, it is a true indicator of polling intention, because people are betting their real money on whether a certain candidate can win. And sure, you can put money down on an outlier candidate with high odds, but that candidate better have a realistic shot for the nomination and the Presidency. For example, if you put money on Ben Carson, you are a fool. Hillary is by far and away the odds on favorite. Some outfits have her as an 11/10 favorite, or 5/4, or 6/5, or even money at 1/1. Jeb Bush is next in line as a 7/2 favorite, or 4/1, or 5/1. Marco Rubio's odds fall in a range between 7/1 and 11/. Scott Walker's odds similarly range from 7/1 to 12/1 (though most have him in the double digits behind Rubio.

Division 1 is fully booked. (Me, Pandora, Steve Newton, Prop Joe and AQC) will be facing off for the big money. Division 2 is filling up. (Delaware Dem vs...? You?) Here is how it works. The league is open to 5 players per division. Division 2 is a $5.00 buy in (entertainment only/winner take all). Each player will each draft 4 candidates from the list compiled by Delaware Dem. Your team will accrue points based on the number of days they are in the race for the Republican nomination. So, for example, Rand Paul announced on April 7th. If he makes it all the way to the convention (July 18 2016) he will have been in the race for 469 days, netting his team 469 points. If John Bolton never enters the race, he will have been in the race for 0 days netting his team zero points. If Division 2 fills up over the weekend, we'll try to have the draft on Monday via live chat or something. Who is in?