First poll after debate shows Bush, Walker collapsing; Trump, Fiorina and Cruz surging.

Filed in National by on August 9, 2015

A new NBC News/Survey Monkey poll taken after the first GOP presidential debate finds Donald Trump still leading the field with 23%, followed by Ted Cruz at 13%, Ben Carson at 11%, Carly Fiorina at 8%, Marco Rubio at 8%, Jeb Bush at 7%, and Scott Walker at 7%.

Chuck Todd explained on Meet the Press that it was a “scientific” online survey. I am not sure what that means, since online surveys are by their very nature not random, and thus the poll can’t really be scientific, so take this poll for what it is worth. But for those of us who are poll starved and curious to see what affect the debate had on the polls, this is our first clue.

My takes: I don’t have the internals, so I don’t have the full numbers, but there is no Kasich surge, which means I was right. The base finds Kasich’s embrace of gay marriage and Obamacare as disqualifying. Further, Trump did himself no harm at the debate so far. His Kelly remarks? We will have to wait and see. Bush and Walker’s subpar performances sent their numbers plummeting.

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  1. Jason330 says:

    Ouch Bush did suck though

  2. Jason330 says:

    Bush still leads among bettors.
    Jeb Bush
    42¢

    Marco Rubio
    26¢

    Scott Walker
    24¢

    John Kasich
    21¢

    Chris Christie
    15¢

    Ted Cruz
    14¢

    Carly Fiorina
    14¢

    Donald Trump
    14¢

    Rand Paul
    13¢

    Ben Carson
    10¢

    Mike Huckabee

    Bobby Jindal

    Rick Perry

    Rick Santorum

  3. mouse says:

    Go Trump. He so well represents republican family values lol.

  4. Rusty Dils says:

    Besides looking at the poll numbers, the real sign that the dems are starting to perceive Carly as a real threat is the fact that Debby Waserman Schultz is starting to try and go after her

  5. ben says:

    It’ll be Kasich/Rubio. They will try and go for Ohio and Florida and the dumbasses who are registered R and vote in the primary will be told to suck it by the RNC.
    All the other candidates will be SO SUPPORTIVE (accept Trump) he wont run as a third party because he wont get any doners and wont use his own money. Consider this…. he has 25% support from registered republicans. 25% of Americans are registered republican… that leaves him with about 5% support from America. He exists only to make whoever the GOP decides to nominate (Kasich) look smart and reasonable.

  6. Jason330 says:

    That’s plausible. Who is the ultimate shot caller in your conspiracy theory?

  7. ben says:

    Rich and powerful donors who’s names we’ll never know. the Kochs and Adelsons are just low level frontmen.