If history is a trusted guide, a Republican will win the White House in 2016. Here is the operative tea leaf – the deficit.
Between 2009 and 2013, President Barack Obama successfully eliminated the towering $1.4 trillion deficit legacy of the Bush administration, lowering it to $679 billion.
Like Bill Clinton before him, President Obama eliminated a GOP produced budget deficit in spite of the GOP’s angry and sustained opposition. He cleaned up the mess. This is an astonishing, but predictable accomplishment.
Now that the country is not teetering on the edge of fiscal calamity, thanks to a Democratic White House, a relived country can now turn to a Republican to explode the deficit again. The GOP’s fiscal recklessness will probably include “growth oriented” tax cuts for the wealthiest individuals and corporations, and an unfunded ill-planned and poorly executed vanity war. All of that mischief aided and abetted by “Democrats” like Senator Tom Carper.
Again, if history is any guide.