Delaware Liberal

The Gravis Poll Internals

Some interesting tidbits:

This was quite surprising, and it goes against the trend in other states this primary season where we have seen the actual voters that turnout describe themselves as liberal or very liberal. In Delaware, being a moderate still has some cache. Now, you have to wonder how many of these moderates are the old Republicans who bolted their party in 2008 to vote for Markell over Carney. And I wish we knew the Presidential preference of these moderates, but the poll is not broken down that far. Liberal and Slightly Liberal (whatever that means, the terminology should be Liberal or Very Liberal) do constitute a majority of 50%.

65% of Delaware’s Republicans are conservative or slightly conservative. What is surprising is that there are still a sizeable amount of moderates still in the GOP, 28%.

This is where the poll might deviate from the state wide demographics. 5% African Americans? The 2010 Census has the state population at 21% AA. The Hispanic/Latino population is 8%, not 2. In 2008, 28% of the Democratic voters were African American. Sure, that turnout is amplified due to Barack Obama, but it’s not going to fall down to 5%. It’s not going to fall below 20%.

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