WEST VIRGINIA—MetroNews–Sanders 47, Clinton 43
This would be a surprise result. Sanders is likely to win West Virginia 58-42 or something close to that.
This is unfortunate.
New York Times: “Hoping for a moment of party unity, Mr. Trump had scarcely declared victory in Indiana when the cascade of rejection began, starting with the announcement by George Bush and his son George W. Bush, the only former Republican presidents still living, that they would not back his candidacy. And on Thursday night, Mitt Romney, the party’s 2012 nominee, said he intended to hold to his earlier pledge not to vote for Mr. Trump, according to an audio recording of his remarks.”
“Mr. Romney’s remarks came just hours after House Speaker Paul D. Ryan, the nation’s highest-ranking Republican elected official, delivered an embarrassing blow to Mr. Trump, declaring that he had not yet proven himself worthy of an endorsement.”
And now Jeb Bush and Lindsay Graham say they won’t vote for Trump. Trump reacted as maturely as you’d expect. And he has now turned against his top fellater Joe Scarborough because Joe said he wouldn’t vote for Trump unless he dropped his Muslim ban.
Former CIA Director says Trump would be a “hard brief.”
Erick Erickson is evil. He will live eternity in Hell. But this is interesting:
Seventeen years after Republicans impeached Bill Clinton for covering up an affair, they are handing their party over to a man who has openly bragged about his affairs. On the day the Republicans first meet in Cleveland, Donald Trump will be taken to court for allegedly defrauding hard working Americans through Trump University…
Republicans owe Bill Clinton an apology for impeaching him over lies and affairs while now embracing a pathological liar and womanizer.
Trump’s main weakness is he hates women. And he really hates strong women. And he hates to be mocked. Add all those together and you have Elizabeth Warren. She has to be on the ticket!
If Donald Trump sending out a photo of himself eating a taco bowl with the caption “I love Hispanics” wasn’t strange enough, the Independent Journal Review discovered a photo of Trump’s ex-wife Marla Maples in a bikini on his desk in the photo.
Last month, GQ magazine published a profile of Melania Trump. The story was written by Julia Ioffe, who has since been inundated with anti-Semitic death threats from bigoted Donald Trump supporters. Or as Trump calls them, “fans of mine.” And then he refused to condemn them.
Trump doesn't condemn fans threatening reporter @juliaioffe "I don't have a message" to fans https://t.co/95d0SnGj2c https://t.co/MI3lx1xVrD
— The Situation Room (@CNNSitRoom) May 4, 2016
Josh Marshall says Donald Trump is no mystery:
Several times over the years I’ve told the story of the first big political prediction I got right – less than a year into my first job in journalism. It was the fall of 1998, in the build up to President Clinton’s impeachment, and I was telling my officemates that I thought Democrats would pick up seats in the November election. I tried to write about it but my editor wouldn’t let me. (He said I would embarrass the publication.) This was contrary to what virtually everyone else predicted. So what special insight did I have? Really, none. I watched the public polling and paid attention to what those polls were saying. Contrary to the widespread predictions of a GOP wave, they suggested a modest Democratic gain, which is precisely what happened. Everyone else saw the same polls. But almost everyone else had come up with explanations for why they couldn’t be right. […]
For just the same reasons, no one has any business being surprised that Trump is now the Republican nominee. Don’t get me wrong. Polls can obviously be wrong. They sometimes miss a race, sometimes dramatically. But when consistent and sustained polling data conflicts with your logic, there’s quite likely something wrong with your logic.Trump is the perfect example.
Starting in early July of last year, only weeks after entering the race, Trump moved into a nationwide lead and never looked back. For nine months, Trump lead the polls and never once lost that lead. Indeed, from early August until today his lead steadily grew from roughly 25% to 50% support today. You have to go back to George W. Bush in 2000 to see domination on anything like that scale – and Bush had a lock on establishment backing from the outset. Looked at from this perspective it’s remarkable that anyone could have looked at this race at any time in recent months and not concluded that Trump was the overwhelming favorite to win the nomination. […]
Now in the first glow of Trump’s nomination, we’re hearing all sorts of arguments about how the political magic he pulled in the GOP primaries he’ll now bring to bear against Hillary Clinton. He’s agile. He’s free to change positions whenever he pleases. He just hasn’t started in on Hillary yet. The normal rules don’t apply to him.
Again, let’s look at what the polls suggest.
The same mistake is being made. People assume Hillary cannot beat Trump because Trump defied their poll ignoring logic. And they make that assumption by ignoring the polls, again.