Open Thread for Wednesday, June 8, 2016
So that’s it. It’s over. Pardons of course to the residents of the District of Columbia who get to vote next week, but it’s over. Hillary won a rather commanding double digit victory in California, won close races in South Dakota and New Mexico, lost a close race in Montana, lost a caucus in North Dakota, and scored a Maryland-style blowout win in New Jersey. In so doing, she clinches majority leads in the popular votes, in states/territories won, in pledged delegates, in all delegates. By every single metric there is, she is the nominee.
And I hope everyone takes a minute, to reflect on that. We have just nominated the first woman Presidential candidate to lead our party in American history. What took us so long? It is a historic moment that will be remembered by our great grand children. It will be in the history books. Indeed, we are living in an era right now that will be spoken of in 100 years with awe. The election of the nation’s first black President followed by the election of the first woman President. Stop and appreciate it for a little bit.
I fell asleep before Bernie’s speech last night, but I have seen it described as a deescalation of tensions if not the beginning of a stand down. Senator Sanders is due to meet in Washington tomorrow, at his request, with the President of the United States and Senator Harry Reid. I expect that during both meetings with Obama and Reid, Bernie will be offered incentives to bow out gracefully now. Everything from certain platform concessions, changes to the primary process, and declarations that he will be the leader of the Congressional Progressive Caucus and the Progressive Wing of the party, and encouraging him and Jane to form a progressive campaign organization that will elect mini-Bernies across the land. Where there are carrots, there are also sticks to make it apparent to Bernie that if a graceful exit is not achieved, there will be consequences. But let’s be positive and not speak of that right now. I choose to believe that Bernie, after resting and reflecting after some much need sleep, will do the right thing.
That said, there is an aspect of the end of campaigns that is unpleasant: the losing campaign’s postmortem. I hesitate to post this link to the blockbuster Politico piece on the last days of the Bernie Sanders campaign, because I really don’t want to be seen as a sore winner, because I am not. But I think a number of people, myself included, diagnosed Bernie Sanders and his campaign exactly as described in the article, and speaking for myself, it was one of the reasons I did not support his candidacy. I post the article here because it is being widely talked about today, and we all here are political junkies, and campaign postmortems, even unflattering ones, are part of the process. Hell, Hillary had her own unflattering postmortem in 2008.
Ezra Klein says it is time to admit that Hillary Clinton is an extraordinarly talented politician:
There is something about Clinton that makes it hard to appreciate the magnitude of her achievement. Or perhaps there is something about us that makes it hard to appreciate the magnitude of her achievement.
Perhaps, in ways we still do not fully appreciate, the reason no one has ever broken the glass ceiling in American politics is because it’s really fucking hard to break. Before Clinton, no one even came close.
Whether you like Clinton or hate her — and plenty of Americans hate her — it’s time to admit that the reason Clinton was the one to break it is because Clinton is actually really good at politics.
She’s just good at politics in a way we haven’t learned to appreciate.
The Republican party is a bitterly divided party with no core beliefs unifying their elected officials, big money donors and rank-and-file voters.
Hillary Clinton has already discovered that almost all issues can be wedge issues in the presidential race. She has just begun to hammer away at the divisions in the party and tear them open even wider. President Obama will soon join her on the campaign trail to lend a helping hand.
The GOP faces a critical moment as a political party. If they excuse Trump’s behavior — especially his doubling down on racist statements — they’ll own him more than ever. But if they back away as Sen. Lindsey Graham is urging, it’s almost certain they will lose the presidential race.
At some point, they may just need to kill the party and start over.
— meta (@metaquest) June 8, 2016
Hillary Clinton has been part of our national consciousness for so long that it is easy to forget how far she has pushed the edges. It is not just that she has made history by becoming the first woman to claim the presidential nomination of a major party. Hillary — known on a first-name basis, both by her fervent supporters and by those who despise her — has been the avatar of a different way of thinking about women and what they can do. […]
The arc of her career has not been a graceful one. Again and again, the sequence has been the same: She sets out, stumbles, gets up again, grinds on.
And as she herself has acknowledged, she lacks the natural political talents of the two men against whom she is inevitably measured — the one she married, and the one to whom she lost in 2008. […] It was never much in doubt that she would try again, because that is her laborious way. She is determined to make history, and she has; what she will never do is make it look easy.
Shane Goldmacher points out that one of Bernie Sanders’s historic accomplishments is his massive donor list:
“Campaigns can be ephemeral. They exist. They are very important — the most important thing. And then, win or lose, they go away,” said Erin Hill, ActBlue’s longtime executive director. But the idea of ActBlue is that it lives on, she said, allowing each successive campaign to reap the benefits of the previous cycle.
The Sanders camp knows that, long after the Democratic primary is over, this is the key part of the digital inheritance it is leaving for the political left.
“Sen. Sanders’ participation in building up the Democratic fundraising ecosystem will pay dividends for progressive candidates up and down the ballot for years to come,” predicted Kenneth Pennington, digital director for the Sanders campaign.
"I think for many women they will find themselves unexpectedly emotional about this” https://t.co/9PWD9gDRdl w/ @SamLachman
— Sam Stein (@samsteinhp) June 8, 2016
Lisa Belkin interviews Jane Sanders, who seems for her part to be winding down and moving on to another project:
“It’s not just about winning the presidency, it’s about changing our country to have it be what we all want it to be and know it can be,” she says. “As president, he’d want an outside, really organized group of people helping support him, moving it in the direction of the issues that he’s talked about. And if he’s not the nominee, it will be him leading that group, leading that transformation.”
She’s been spending some time noodling on the details of such a group — something like MoveOn or Organizing for Action, but with a Sanders-issues focus. “It’s something I’ve thought about and will be able to bring to him at a future moment, not in the middle of a campaign. This is something we will move on regardless of the outcome of this election, and I will definitely be involved in that.”
Good. That is what Bernie and Jane Sanders should be doing. Take that huge donor and email list and elect Progressives up and down the ballot. I have no problem with that. It will make a President Hillary Clinton’s job easier.
made some tiny emoji art to mark this moment pic.twitter.com/Flk5ZT3Xp4
— laura olin (@lauraolin) June 8, 2016
James Fallows analyzes Trumps’ attacks:
[W]hat’s clear about Trump’s argument, and what is deeply un-American about it, is its essentialism. Trump is saying that because of who you are, in an ethnic or hereditary sense, he will make judgments about what you think and what role in society you can play. The related assumption, as Garrett Epps explains to irrebuttable effect, is that people’s public roles cannot be separated from their ethnic or religious identities. A “Mexican” judge will think and act as a Mexican, not as a judge. There is no more un-American concept.
Jonathan Bernstein on Republigeddon:
Donald Trump is having his third consecutive terrible week.
Over the weekend, Republicans who have endorsed him slammed him for his bigoted comments about Gonzalo Curiel, the judge who is overseeing the fraud case against Trump University.
Then Bloomberg Politics reported on a conference call Monday between Trump and his surrogates in which Trump dismissed the criticism of his attack on Curiel and blasted his own campaign for (sensibly) telling them to change the subject away from why “Mexicans” can’t be fair judges.
Added to all this are more details (via MSNBC) on how Trump barely has a campaign, something I mentioned last week.
I don’t think the Republicans who chose to accept Trump as a done deal in April are at a panic point yet, but it’s worth noting: All it would take to dump him in Cleveland would be a vote to free the delegates, followed by having at least half of the convention oppose him on the first ballot.
A confluence of three factors has caused a sudden and sharp change in Trump’s fortunes. The media scrutiny has increased significantly since he secured the nomination, and journalists, rather than chasing his outrage du jour, are digging in to report more on Trump University, Trump’s stiffing of charities, his lies and his racism. Hillary Clinton has, finally, made the shift to attacking Trump vigorously over his instability. And Republicans are, belatedly, discovering that their presidential candidate wasn’t putting on a show during the GOP primaries: He’s an actual racist.
The final moments before the historic moment.
Featured:@DanSchwerin@HillaryClinton
Photobomb:@realDonaldTrump pic.twitter.com/EXdNRJuzw5
— Nick Merrill (@NickMerrill) June 8, 2016
“I think for many women they will find themselves unexpectedly emotional about this”
I’m not a woman (in the conventional sense) and I was unexpectedly emotional.
“Well gang, your choices are a nativist, proto-fascist reality TV star or an ultra-wealthy Rockefeller Republican hawk! #liberalismisoworking.”
–@freddiedeboer Jun 7, 2016, 11:04:44 PM
Congratulations, everyone! I’m emotional too, but I totally expected to be. Disgust is an emotion, right?
Joking aside, I’ll probably go for the Rockefeller Republican lady, but I’m certainly not going to be excited or celebrate it. Margaret Thatcher broke a glass ceiling as well…
American Liberalism needs the three-headed monster, Clintobamanders.
I’m not sure the Rockefeller Republican lady would want any part of that, but it would be the best case scenario for the country.
I think my 35+ year despair over the seeming invincibility of Republicans has inured me to any emotion other than relief, i.e., “Thank god we have a Democrat who looks like a winner.” The novelty of women in politics wore off decades ago.
“The novelty of women in politics wore off decades ago.”
It hasn’t been 10 decades yet since they were allowed to vote let alone hold office.
Relief is a good way to put it. HRC is like syrup of ipecac. It’ll purge the Trump poison from our gut, but it’s generally unpleasant.
I voted for a female VP in 1984.
Well then, aren’t you special?
@DD: Thanks for the Politico piece. This line sums it up:
“Every time Sanders got into a knife fight, aides say, they ended up losing. But they could never stop Sanders when he got his back up.”
That wasn’t a bug, it was a feature. Like Trump’s fans, many of Bernie’s fans relished his willingness to fight.
There is little question that Hillary has the better temperament for the job. If only she weren’t such a pro-Israel hawk…
@a “If only she weren’t such a pro-Israel hawk…”
I alway saw that as simple political pandering on her part.
Do you really think her actions will be that far from Obama’s? Will she really give Israel a $6 billion foreign aid support package, just because Netanyahu stomps his feet and scowls? Will she really look the other way as Israel commits atrocities against the Palestinians and steals their water?
I’m hoping that she can be better than Obama in dealing with Netanyahu. Obama basically offered Netanyahu $1.5 billion to just shut up and play nice (and it didn’t work). That was NOT the best deal for America.
I actually expect Hillary to be tougher.
“The novelty of women in politics wore off decades ago.”
Seriously? To me (as an actual woman) this is a momentous occasion.
As a cis-gendered woman, you mean.
The novelty of only white men in politics wore off for me decades ago.
We as a nation were under minority rule for 220 years. All white males. They are and always have been a minority in this country. Two candidates, and hopefully two presidents, in a row NOT from that dominant numerical minority is huge. Its the end of Apartheid America, and I couldn’t be happier, even writing this as a member of the historically dominant group.
I apologize for changing the subject, but this story shows why Black Lives Matter should matter to everyone, not just minorities:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/timothy-runnels-bryce-masters-taser_us_57571f6de4b07823f95188c9
This is a white teenager, tasered into brain damage for no better reason than the unaccountability of police in this country.
The ugly fact is that it’s not only blacks whom police treat this way. It’s anyone they think they can get away with it on, and thanks to our police-coddling political system, that’s damn near everyone.
You want to talk about something that’s been going on for decades? Police have been pulling this shit for a lot longer than women have been allowed to vote.
Here’s a story from Bill Moyers about DWS and the “liberal” Dan Malloy, governor of Connecticut, that makes Jack Markell seem like Bernie Sanders. This is the same Malloy whom Sanders complained about, and who was defended by establishment Democrats as a liberal.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bill-moyers/wasserman-schultz-has-a-c_b_10347476.html
@a “This is the same Malloy whom Sanders complained about, and who was defended by establishment Democrats as a liberal.”
Here’s a more balanced take on what’s happening in CT.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/05/the-travails-of-connecticut-democratic-governor-dannel-malloy/483213/
What’s most remarkable to me in the taser story is that the cop was held accountable at all. One of the things that I see in reaction to stories like this is how people who find something wrong with this kind of brutality are immediately set up as enemies of the police. A thing that comes with the militarization of the police, I think. People who are given great responsibility get to live with great accountability. And too often I see defenders of police abandoning both.
“just because Netanyahu stomps his feet and scowls?”
Actually, I can’t wait to see how Orthodox publications handle a woman President. Remember when the Brooklyn weekly Di Tzeitung removed Clinton and a security advisor from that iconic photograph in the Situation Room? Gonna be interesting times in Isreal when the Orthodox rags show Netanyahu greeting nobody.
@D “Gonna be interesting times in Isreal when the Orthodox rags show Netanyahu greeting nobody.”
Maybe that’s a good job for Bill: Official Greeter of Misogynists and Miscreants
@LE: If you think being called a liberal Sam Brownback is a more balanced take, so be it.
Congrats to Hillary and those who supported her. I’m sure she’ll be our next President.
As far as the future is concerned, it’s very significant that nearly half of the nation’s biggest political party preferred a Democratic Socialist as a potential president and a vast majority of young voters were among them. Not for very long will we have to hear repeated again and again, as we have for years, that we must abide and support DLC like Democrats as our leaders. That’s fading significantly thanks to Bernie and largely to the appalling inequalities generated by American capitalism. The “pragmatic” masquerade well cease to be an excuse for supporting moderate Repub-like Dems and we’ll see who the real progressives are and who have only been posers all along.
Bernie will succeed. Just be patient.