Two Person Race: Townsend, Rochester Lead in Poll
The News Journal and PublicMind, a polling outfit associated with Fairleigh Dickinson University, have released a poll showing both State Sen. Bryan Townsend and former Secretary of Labor Lisa Blunt Rochester tied at 11%. Shockingly, Mike Miller gets 9%, and somehow Scott Walker, they guy with the crazy hand made signs and who stands on a painted old car waving at traffic, gets 6%.
Devastatingly, Sean Barney only gets 4%, and the other candidate, New York transplant Elias Weir, could not garner 1%.
The poll was conduct on both landline and cell phones, and was conducted July 20-24, surveying 715 Republican- and Democrat-leaning residents across the state who identified themselves as registered voters. For the Democratic Primary for the Congressional race, they polled 344 registered Democrats, and the poll has a 5.3% margin of error.
Some of the results make me dismiss poll as an outlier (Miller at 9, Walker at 6, and Barney at 4), but if this is true, Barney may want to consider dropping out of the race. But of course, with his campaign warchest, and Vote Vet support, he definitely will not do that, and will inside lit bomb the state into submission.
Look at those numbers. NO one really gives a damn who the next Congressperson is in Delaware! Supreme apathy! SAD
Really pathetic numbers for Barney since he was only one on ballot statewide in 2014.
Wow! Sean Barney, who just two years ago was the Democratic nominee for State Treasurer, is polling below Scott Walker and Mike Miller. I guess voters really don’t like him.
By my math, “undecided” outpolls both Townsend and LBR by about a 5-1 margin. So this race is totally up for grabs.
One other point — given the intensity of the Wilmington mayoral race and minimal interest in Democratic primaries other than Lt.Gov., we must be highly skeptical of any of these polls. I believe turnout in Wilmington will be disproportionately higher than in other areas of the state. In the House race, this could give LBR a bump that’s not likely to show up in polling. (In the Lt.Gov. contest, that could also benefit Ciro and photobomber Sherry Dorsey Walker.)
Great point, mediawatch. These candidates should spend some time in the city. Everyone here (in the city) is talking about the Mayor’s race all the time. I’m expecting a higher turn-out here.
If it holds, just shows all the out of state ‘vote vets’ money and NY/ CT ‘hedge fund’ money can’t get you elected here . Renew my faith in Delaware voters!
Chris,
Not following your logic, Barney nor VotVets have communicated yet so how could these numbers reflect money that hasn’t been spent? That we’re this close and there are this many undecideds means whoever communicates the most will win.
Delaware Dem, you might have to change the photo related to this race to Townsend, Rochester, and Miller.
I think I’ll change my name to Rufus Y. Undecided. I’ll win in a landslide!
This polling is terrible. It isn’t likely primary voters, only registered dems and dem-leaning independents. The results are almost meaningless.
The polling is terrible for sure, but it’s also very sad for Barney. He should’ve gotten a bump in a registered D poll because those are more of the voters who’ve seen him before. Instead he’s in the basement. He needs to move along, stop running for office.
i think the news-journal is selling snake-oil with this poll (what’s new?). it tells us nothing at all. on the other hand, it provides an entry into talking about the election, which needs talking up because nobody really gives a shit about it.
@Rufus. Let’s start The Undecided Voter Party. We should be able to best Blue Enigma.
I have always thought this was a Townsend/ Blunt Rochester race. I don’t think its a great poll, but it does generally reflect that those are the top two. Result makes sense based on demographics, most progressive ideology, fundraising and name recognition.
Seriously, if this poll used only registered D’s and also used D-leaning independents, then it’s a waste of money. I’s can’t vote in the primary, and it’s not that difficult to identify likely primary voters. Pathetic.
Are there crosstabs for this poll anyplace we can access? I just read the NJ article and while they posted them for the Mayoral poll, I don’t see them here.
They may have polled the counties equally, instead of polling based on the population percentages in each county. That would account for Mike Miller’s higher than expected result.
Cassandra, you can find more of a readout on Farleigh Dickinson’s site, but no actual cross tabs.
Didn’t realize they polled I’s – really stupid.
I think it’s Rochester’s to lose because I think it’s going to come down to $$, but who knows.
The best part of that poll is that Lafferty isn’t too far behind Bonini. Hilarious.