Delaware Liberal

The October 19, 2016 Thread

Delaware Dem

PRESIDENT
NATIONAL–FOX News–CLINTON 49, Trump 42
NATIONAL–NBC News/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 46, Trump 40
NATIONAL–Bloomberg–CLINTON 47, Trump 38
WISCONSIN–WPR/St. Norbert–CLINTON 47, Trump 39
WISCONSIN–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 48, Trump 44
OREGON–FOX News–CLINTON 43, Trump 36
COLORADO–Magellan Strategies–CLINTON 40, Trump 35
COLORADO–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 50, Trump 41
FLORIDA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 47, TRUMP 47
GEORGIA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 48, Trump 45
IOWA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–TRUMP 49, Clinton 44
MICHIGAN–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 51, Trump 42
NEVADA–Monmouth–CLINTON 47, Trump 40
NEVADA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 47, Trump 46
TEXAS–Univ. of Houston–TRUMP 41, Clinton 38
TEXAS–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey-TRUMP 48, Clinton 46
NEW JERSEY–Farleigh Dickinson–CLINTON 51, Trump 40
NEW HAMPSHIRE–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 50, Trump 43
NEW MEXICO–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 50, Trump 39
NORTH CAROLINA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 51, Trump 43
NORTH CAROLINA–SurveyUSA–CLINTON 46, Trump 44
OHIO–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–TRUMP 48, Clinton 46
PENNSYLVANIA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 51, Trump 42
MASSACHUSETTS–WBUR/MassINC–CLINTON 54, Trump 28
ARIZONA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–TRUMP 47, Clinton 46
VIRGINIA–Washington Post/SurveyMonkey–CLINTON 54, Trump 41

A new USA TODAY/Rock the Vote Poll of young voters, conducted by Ipsos, finds Hillary Clinton is continuing to build a lead over Donald Trump among Millennials, 68% to 20%, followed by Gary Johnson at 8%.

The New York Times on whether Trump will torch his own party: “Snubbed by Mr. Ryan in the final month of the campaign, Mr. Trump has seemed as eager to attack turncoat leaders in his own party as to make the case against Mrs. Clinton. He has reserved special venom for Mr. Ryan, blasting him as a weak leader with bad ideas about trade and immigration, and suggesting that Mr. Ryan might be sabotaging Mr. Trump’s campaign to pave the way for a presidential run of his own in four years.”

“These attacks have the potential to rip apart the Republican Party in ways that will last long beyond Election Day. Should Mr. Trump use a prime-time debate to sic the Republican base on its leaders — and to cast himself, essentially, as an independent candidate challenging elites on the left and right — he could inflict damage on the party far deeper than what Mrs. Clinton might deliver on her own.”

Politico on how low will Trump go tonight: “Last time Trump suggested Clinton was the devil, said she had ‘hate in her heart’ and paraded Bill Clinton’s accusers in front of the debate stage. And that was ten days ago, when he was doing better in the polls.”

The only thing that is left is the Clinton Murders. He will accuse her of murder.

This is supposed to rattle Hillary Clinton? All it proves is that Obama got under Trump’s skin by doing this:

Rick Klein: “The damage Donald Trump is doing to the Republican Party – assuming polls hold and he loses big, perhaps taking the Senate down with him – can’t be fully measured Nov. 8. (And that has nothing to do with claims of a ‘rigged election.’) Just three weeks out, Trump is somehow finding new battles to fight with his fellow Republicans, including those whose endorsements of him still stand.”

“Trump on Monday put House Speaker Paul Ryan in his crosshairs, telling ABC’s Tom Llamas that Ryan may not want him to even win: ‘Maybe he wants to run in four years, or maybe he doesn’t know how to win.’ That sentiment virtually assures a post-election for Ryan, who at best will have a diminished majority to try to lead in the next Congress, amid suspicions of his own motives and true agenda. Should Trump lose, the potential justifications for his backers to offer are multiplying daily.”

“Sen. Marco Rubio used his first Senate debate to describe the choice between Trump and Hillary Clinton as ‘horrifying’ and called on Trump to stop saying the election is rigged. That plea will go unheard, as will pleas that Trump limit his shots at fellow GOPers over the final stretch.”

Former Boston Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling told WPRO that that he’s planning to run against Sen. Elizabeth Warren in 2018.

Said Schilling: “I’ve made my decision. I’m going to run. But I haven’t talked to Shonda, my wife. And ultimately it’s going to come down to how her and I feel this would affect our marriage and our kids.”

You have made your decision but you have not talked to your wife. Good marriage you have there, Curt.

National Journal: “Of the sev­en most com­pet­it­ive Sen­ate races, Re­pub­lic­ans are cling­ing to leads in six (Pennsylvania, Mis­souri, New Hamp­shire, Flor­ida, In­di­ana and North Car­o­lina), and barely trail­ing in a sev­enth (Nevada).”

“The in­tern­al data, shared with Na­tion­al Journ­al by a seni­or Re­pub­lic­an op­er­at­ive, show six Re­pub­lic­an can­did­ates hold­ing nar­row 1-3 point leads against their Demo­crat­ic chal­lengers, with a sev­enth can­did­ate trail­ing by two points. Dif­fer­ent races are trend­ing in dif­fer­ent dir­ec­tions: Re­pub­lic­an can­did­ates have mo­mentum but stat­ist­ic­ally in­sig­ni­fic­ant leads in In­di­ana and North Car­o­lina, while GOP can­did­ates in Mis­souri and Nevada have lost ground in the last few weeks but still re­main in con­ten­tion.”

That is bad news for the GOP. Races break one way or the other. Remember 2006 and 2008. 2010 and 2014. We and the GOP won races we never expected in those wave years.

Stuart Rothenberg: “It would be a mistake to call Trump’s current path to an electoral college victory narrow. It is nonexistent. Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, once part of the Trump scenario, have never been ‘in play,’ and he is not competitive in 2012 states Obama won only narrowly, such as Virginia and Colorado. Trump is more likely to lose North Carolina than win it, which would put him under 200 electoral votes.”
“Frankly, the writing has been on the wall for months about this race. You simply needed to look at the candidates, their campaign teams, the map and the voters.”

It appears that Donald Trump’s big strategy for the final weeks of the presidential race is attacking Hillary Clinton for her husband’s past actions. If Trump’s intention is to convince voters to support him because of the Clintons’ past, it’s not working:

The Post-ABC poll asked whether people thought “Bill Clinton’s treatment of women” is a legitimate issue. Just 31 percent of likely voters said it is, while two-thirds (67 percent) said it isn’t. Even Republicans said by a 50-46 margin that it isn’t a legitimate issue. […]

The Post-ABC poll shows just 35 percent of likely voters say Hillary Clinton “unfairly criticizing women who accused her husband of sexual assault” is a legitimate issue. Fully 62 percent disagree. And again, even Republicans are split — 49-49. […]

Digging deeper, while 36 percent say Trump’s treatment of women is “extremely” or “very” important, just 13 percent say the same of Bill Clinton, and 14 percent say Hillary Clinton’s criticisms of Bill’s accusers are that important. And among political independents, just 1 in 8 say the latter two issues are “extremely” or “very” important to the campaign.

Tim Miller: “Trump knows he’s on a death march, which is why he has reverted to his purest id over the past few days. Belittling women that he allegedly sexually assaulted, concocting racist conspiracy theories about the global elites and minority communities rigging the election, and proffering bombastic lies about his opponent that he knows cable news can’t help but cover.”

“The death march is why Conway has begun to resurrect a time-honored practice: duplicitous political operatives throwing their boss under the bus to try to save face. In an attempt to preserve a lucrative fee on the public speaking circuit after the campaign, Conway has sent a series of tweets over the past week trying to position herself as both in on the joke with Saturday Night Live and the conscience on Trump’s shoulder trying to get him to behave. As a fellow anti-Trump conservative pointed out, Conway is officially playing the role of ‘punch clock villain.’”
“To a casual observer, this behavior might seem counterproductive to the goal Trump and Conway share: winning the election. But the reality is the only goal either has in mind now is self-preservation.”

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